AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Stars League Jan 11, 2025

Al Ahli Doha

Home
VS
15:30

Al Wakrah

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Al Ahli Doha Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Al Wakrah Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.47 - 1.57
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 1.6
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al Ahli Doha Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Al Wakrah Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 3-2 (5%) 2-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Under 2.5 Goals 28%
Al Ahli Doha Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 15 Al Ahli D… vs Al Wakrah 3-1
Oct 04 Al Ahli D… vs Qatar SC 0-1
Sep 14 Al Ahli D… vs Qatar SC 0-1
Aug 11 Al Ahli D… vs Al Wakrah 2-2
Apr 28 Al Ahli D… vs Al Wakrah 1-0
Mar 12 Al Ahli D… vs Qatar SC 1-3
Dec 08 Al Ahli D… vs Al Wakrah 3-2
Nov 18 Al Ahli D… vs Al Wakrah 4-2
Oct 21 Al Ahli D… vs Qatar SC 2-4
Sep 09 Al Ahli D… vs Qatar SC 2-1
Al Wakrah Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 13 Al Wakrah vs Al-Duhail 3-1
Dec 08 Al Wakrah vs Al Shamal… 0-3
Nov 22 Al Wakrah vs Al-Dhafra 3-1
Nov 15 Al Wakrah vs Al Ahli D… 3-1
Nov 11 Al Wakrah vs Al Shamal… 1-1
Nov 01 Al Wakrah vs UMM Salal 3-0
Oct 12 Al Wakrah vs UMM Salal 2-0
Sep 14 Al Wakrah vs Al-Duhail 0-2
Sep 06 Al Wakrah vs Al-Dhafra 0-3
Aug 23 Al Wakrah vs Al Sailiy… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al Ahli Doha in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Al Wakrah struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 15, 2024 Al Wakrah 3 - 1 Al Ahli Doha QSL Cup
Aug 11, 2024 Al Wakrah 2 - 2 Al Ahli Doha Stars League
Apr 28, 2024 Al Ahli Doha 1 - 0 Al Wakrah Stars League
Dec 08, 2023 Al Wakrah 3 - 2 Al Ahli Doha Stars League
Nov 18, 2023 Al Ahli Doha 4 - 2 Al Wakrah QSL Cup
Mar 18, 2023 Al Wakrah 5 - 2 Al Ahli Doha Stars League
Oct 14, 2022 Al Ahli Doha 2 - 2 Al Wakrah QSL Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al Ahli Doha Power 0
Al Wakrah Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Al Ahli Doha Position

-2

Position Gap

8

Al Wakrah Position
Home Win Rate: 29%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.