AI Match Insights

Stars League Aug 11, 2024

Al Wakrah

Home
VS
15:30

Al Ahli Doha

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Al Wakrah Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Al Ahli Doha Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 55%
Market 50%
Combined: 59% Draw Risk: 20%
xG: 3.93 - 2.35
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.9 vs 2.4
Score Prediction Analysis
Al Wakrah Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Al Ahli Doha Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-2 (5%) 3-1 (4%) 3-3 (4%) 2-2 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 2-3 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Under 2.5 Goals 28%
Al Wakrah Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 28 Al Wakrah vs Al Ahli D… 1-0
Apr 24 Al Wakrah vs Al-Dhafra 2-4
Apr 16 Al Wakrah vs Al Shamal… 0-0
Apr 05 Al Wakrah vs Al-Arabi … 2-4
Mar 16 Al Wakrah vs UMM Salal 0-2
Mar 10 Al Wakrah vs Al-Duhail 2-1
Mar 02 Al Wakrah vs Al Sailiy… 3-1
Feb 29 Al Wakrah vs Al-Markhi… 1-2
Dec 17 Al Wakrah vs Al-Duhail 2-3
Dec 08 Al Wakrah vs Al Ahli D… 3-2
Al Ahli Doha Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 28 Al Ahli D… vs Al Wakrah 1-0
Mar 12 Al Ahli D… vs Qatar SC 1-3
Dec 08 Al Ahli D… vs Al Wakrah 3-2
Nov 18 Al Ahli D… vs Al Wakrah 4-2
Oct 21 Al Ahli D… vs Qatar SC 2-4
Sep 09 Al Ahli D… vs Qatar SC 2-1
May 04 Al Ahli D… vs Qatar SC 2-0
Mar 18 Al Ahli D… vs Al Wakrah 5-2
Oct 14 Al Ahli D… vs Al Wakrah 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al Ahli Doha in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Al Wakrah struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 28, 2024 Al Ahli Doha 1 - 0 Al Wakrah Stars League
Dec 08, 2023 Al Wakrah 3 - 2 Al Ahli Doha Stars League
Nov 18, 2023 Al Ahli Doha 4 - 2 Al Wakrah QSL Cup
Mar 18, 2023 Al Wakrah 5 - 2 Al Ahli Doha Stars League
Oct 14, 2022 Al Ahli Doha 2 - 2 Al Wakrah QSL Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al Wakrah Power 0
Al Ahli Doha Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Al Wakrah Position

+2

Position Gap

10

Al Ahli Doha Position

Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 43%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.