AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Mar 31, 2025

New Jack

Home
VS
12:30

Bukavu Dawa

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
New Jack Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Bukavu Dawa Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 68%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 2.76 - 1.59
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 1.6 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
New Jack Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Bukavu Dawa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-2 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Under 2.5 Goals 26%
New Jack Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 11 New Jack vs Rangers FC 2-0
Mar 08 New Jack vs Renaissan… 1-1
Feb 27 New Jack vs Vita Club 1-1
Feb 23 New Jack vs JSK 2-1
Feb 15 New Jack vs Maniema U… 3-0
Dec 22 New Jack vs Anges Ver… 1-0
Dec 11 New Jack vs Rangers FC 1-1
Nov 29 New Jack vs Céleste 1-2
Nov 23 New Jack vs Etoile de… 1-0
Nov 20 New Jack vs Bukavu Da… 0-0
Bukavu Dawa Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 12 Bukavu Da… vs Anges Ver… 4-3
Dec 04 Bukavu Da… vs JSK 0-1
Nov 24 Bukavu Da… vs Rangers FC 2-2
Nov 20 Bukavu Da… vs New Jack 0-0
Nov 09 Bukavu Da… vs Céleste 3-0
Nov 03 Bukavu Da… vs Etoile de… 0-1
Oct 27 Bukavu Da… vs Motema Pe… 0-1
Oct 18 Bukavu Da… vs Dauphins … 0-1
Oct 09 Bukavu Da… vs Renaissan… 1-1
Oct 06 Bukavu Da… vs Vita Club 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • New Jack struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 20, 2024 Bukavu Dawa 0 - 0 New Jack Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: New Jack to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
New Jack Power 0
Bukavu Dawa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

New Jack Position

+7

Position Gap

14

Bukavu Dawa Position
Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.