AI Match Insights
Super League Jan 14, 2023
Red Arrows
HomeVS
13:00
ZESCO United
AwayAI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Red Arrows Win
Draw
ZESCO United Win
Home Win
(47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
70%
Standings
74%
Market
50%
Combined: 49%
Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.88 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.9 vs 0.2
Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Red Arrows Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
ZESCO United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (34%)
1-0 (30%)
2-0 (13%)
0-1 (7%)
1-1 (6%)
3-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
10%
Under 2.5 Goals
90%
Red Arrows Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 07 | Red Arrows vs NAPSA Sta… | 3-1 |
| Dec 10 | Red Arrows vs Power Dyn… | 4-0 |
| Dec 03 | Red Arrows vs Green Eag… | 0-1 |
| Oct 22 | Red Arrows vs Nchanga R… | 3-1 |
| Oct 08 | Red Arrows vs Green Eag… | 1-0 |
| Oct 01 | Red Arrows vs Zanaco | 1-1 |
| Aug 27 | Red Arrows vs ZESCO Uni… | 0-1 |
| Aug 20 | Red Arrows vs NAPSA Sta… | 0-0 |
| Apr 09 | Red Arrows vs Zanaco | 1-1 |
| Mar 24 | Red Arrows vs Power Dyn… | 0-0 |
ZESCO United Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 07 | ZESCO Uni… vs Prison Le… | 1-1 |
| Dec 03 | ZESCO Uni… vs Nkana | 1-0 |
| Nov 26 | ZESCO Uni… vs Nchanga R… | 3-1 |
| Nov 12 | ZESCO Uni… vs Zanaco | 1-0 |
| Oct 29 | ZESCO Uni… vs Kabwe War… | 0-0 |
| Oct 22 | ZESCO Uni… vs Kansanshi… | 3-1 |
| Sep 17 | ZESCO Uni… vs Green Eag… | 0-0 |
| Sep 03 | ZESCO Uni… vs Nkwazi | 0-1 |
| Aug 27 | ZESCO Uni… vs Red Arrows | 0-1 |
| Aug 20 | ZESCO Uni… vs Prison Le… | 1-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Red Arrows struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2022 | ZESCO United | 0 - 1 | Red Arrows | Super League |
| Jan 08, 2022 | Red Arrows | 1 - 0 | ZESCO United | Super League |
| Dec 15, 2021 | ZESCO United | 1 - 2 | Red Arrows | Super League |
| Apr 28, 2021 | ZESCO United | 2 - 1 | Red Arrows | Super League |
| Dec 09, 2020 | Red Arrows | 0 - 0 | ZESCO United | Super League |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Red Arrows to win (61% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Red Arrows Power
0
ZESCO United Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
1
Red Arrows Position+7
Position Gap8
ZESCO United Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 14%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.