AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League Jan 08, 2022

Red Arrows

Home
VS
11:00

ZESCO United

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Red Arrows Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
ZESCO United Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 1.33 - 0.68
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.7 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Red Arrows Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
ZESCO United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
51%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (12%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Under 2.5 Goals 68%
Red Arrows Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 31 Red Arrows vs Zanaco 1-2
Dec 15 Red Arrows vs ZESCO Uni… 1-2
Nov 07 Red Arrows vs Power Dyn… 1-1
Oct 03 Red Arrows vs Green Eag… 1-0
Sep 29 Red Arrows vs Konkola B… 1-1
Sep 26 Red Arrows vs Green Eag… 1-2
Jun 27 Red Arrows vs Zanaco 0-0
May 12 Red Arrows vs NAPSA Sta… 0-1
Apr 28 Red Arrows vs ZESCO Uni… 2-1
Apr 11 Red Arrows vs Green Eag… 2-0
ZESCO United Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 24 ZESCO Uni… vs Prison Le… 0-1
Dec 19 ZESCO Uni… vs Zanaco 1-1
Dec 15 ZESCO Uni… vs Red Arrows 1-2
Dec 11 ZESCO Uni… vs Nkwazi 1-0
Nov 06 ZESCO Uni… vs Green Eag… 0-2
Oct 30 ZESCO Uni… vs Konkola B… 1-1
Oct 20 ZESCO Uni… vs Kansanshi… 4-0
Oct 16 ZESCO Uni… vs Nkana 1-0
Oct 13 ZESCO Uni… vs Kabwe War… 0-2
Jun 17 ZESCO Uni… vs Green Eag… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Red Arrows in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 15, 2021 ZESCO United 1 - 2 Red Arrows Super League
Apr 28, 2021 ZESCO United 2 - 1 Red Arrows Super League
Dec 09, 2020 Red Arrows 0 - 0 ZESCO United Super League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Red Arrows to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Red Arrows Power 0
ZESCO United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Red Arrows Position

+7

Position Gap

8

ZESCO United Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 14%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.