AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League Apr 28, 2021

ZESCO United

Home
VS
13:00

Red Arrows

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
ZESCO United Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Red Arrows Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 2.21 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.2
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
ZESCO United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Red Arrows Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (20%) 3-0 (16%) 0-0 (9%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Under 2.5 Goals 59%
ZESCO United Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 04 ZESCO Uni… vs Zanaco 2-1
Mar 07 ZESCO Uni… vs Kabwe War… 1-2
Jan 20 ZESCO Uni… vs Nkwazi 0-1
Jan 17 ZESCO Uni… vs Nkana 1-2
Dec 09 ZESCO Uni… vs Red Arrows 0-0
Dec 05 ZESCO Uni… vs Prison Le… 1-0
Nov 25 ZESCO Uni… vs Zanaco 3-1
Nov 21 ZESCO Uni… vs Kabwe War… 2-0
Red Arrows Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 11 Red Arrows vs Green Eag… 2-0
Mar 07 Red Arrows vs Power Dyn… 1-0
Feb 20 Red Arrows vs Green Eag… 3-0
Feb 13 Red Arrows vs Zanaco 1-1
Jan 27 Red Arrows vs Green Eag… 2-0
Jan 16 Red Arrows vs NAPSA Sta… 2-2
Dec 09 Red Arrows vs ZESCO Uni… 0-0
Oct 31 Red Arrows vs Green Eag… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • ZESCO United in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 09, 2020 Red Arrows 0 - 0 ZESCO United Super League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
ZESCO United Power 0
Red Arrows Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

ZESCO United Position

-7

Position Gap

1

Red Arrows Position
Home Win Rate: 56%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.