AI Match Insights

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Primera A Aug 24, 2024

Deportivo Pasto

Home
VS
00:30

Bucaramanga

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Deportivo Pasto Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Bucaramanga Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 82%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.00 - 1.06
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Deportivo Pasto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
37%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Bucaramanga Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (14%) 1-1 (14%) 0-0 (13%) 1-0 (13%) 0-2 (7%) 1-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Under 2.5 Goals 66%
Deportivo Pasto Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 21 Deportivo… vs Santa Fe 1-3
Aug 13 Deportivo… vs Fortaleza… 1-0
Aug 05 Deportivo… vs Independi… 2-0
Jul 23 Deportivo… vs Independi… 1-1
Jun 26 Deportivo… vs Deportivo… 0-1
Jun 25 Deportivo… vs Deportivo… 2-2
May 23 Deportivo… vs Junior 0-0
May 19 Deportivo… vs Junior 2-3
May 16 Deportivo… vs Fortaleza… 1-0
May 09 Deportivo… vs Fortaleza… 0-1
Bucaramanga Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 08 Bucaraman… vs Santa Fe 0-1
Jul 21 Bucaraman… vs Millonari… 1-0
Jun 16 Bucaraman… vs Santa Fe 3-2
Jun 09 Bucaraman… vs Santa Fe 1-0
May 22 Bucaraman… vs Millonari… 0-0
May 20 Bucaraman… vs Millonari… 0-1
May 15 Bucaraman… vs Santa Fe 1-1
Apr 28 Bucaraman… vs Alianza P… 1-0
Apr 25 Bucaraman… vs Patriotas… 0-3
Apr 11 Bucaraman… vs Patriotas… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Deportivo Pasto struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Bucaramanga struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 20, 2024 Bucaramanga 1 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Sep 21, 2023 Bucaramanga 0 - 2 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Apr 13, 2023 Deportivo Pasto 1 - 0 Bucaramanga Primera A
Aug 07, 2022 Deportivo Pasto 1 - 0 Bucaramanga Primera A
Feb 11, 2022 Bucaramanga 0 - 1 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Oct 23, 2021 Bucaramanga 2 - 1 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Deportivo Pasto to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Deportivo Pasto Power 0
Bucaramanga Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Deportivo Pasto Position

+1

Position Gap

2

Bucaramanga Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.