AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Aug 23, 2024

Carrick Rangers

Home
VS
18:45

Glentoran

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Carrick Rangers Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Glentoran Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 57% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 2.06 - 0.62
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Carrick Rangers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Glentoran Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 1-0 (14%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 40%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
Carrick Rangers Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 23 Carrick R… vs Bangor 1-3
May 01 Carrick R… vs Crusaders… 3-1
Apr 13 Carrick R… vs Ballymena… 2-1
Apr 06 Carrick R… vs Dungannon… 3-2
Apr 02 Carrick R… vs Linfield 2-3
Mar 16 Carrick R… vs Ballymena… 0-2
Feb 17 Carrick R… vs Dungannon… 2-1
Feb 10 Carrick R… vs Glentoran 2-2
Jan 26 Carrick R… vs Cliftonvi… 0-1
Jan 20 Carrick R… vs Coleraine… 0-2
Glentoran Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 20 Glentoran vs Coleraine… 0-0
Aug 17 Glentoran vs Portadown 1-2
Aug 09 Glentoran vs Crusaders… 0-1
May 01 Glentoran vs Coleraine… 0-3
Apr 27 Glentoran vs Crusaders… 4-0
Apr 20 Glentoran vs Dungannon… 2-0
Apr 20 Glentoran vs Cliftonvi… 2-0
Apr 16 Glentoran vs Larne 1-2
Apr 16 Glentoran vs Ballymena… 1-0
Apr 13 Glentoran vs Coleraine… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Carrick Rangers struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 10, 2024 Glentoran 2 - 2 Carrick Rangers Premiership
Nov 04, 2023 Glentoran 2 - 3 Carrick Rangers Premiership
Sep 30, 2023 Carrick Rangers 2 - 1 Glentoran Premiership
Mar 18, 2023 Carrick Rangers 0 - 4 Glentoran Premiership
Mar 07, 2023 Carrick Rangers 1 - 5 Glentoran Premiership
Oct 07, 2022 Glentoran 5 - 0 Carrick Rangers Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Carrick Rangers Power 0
Glentoran Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Carrick Rangers Position

-3

Position Gap

3

Glentoran Position
Home Win Rate: 31%
Away Win Rate: 69%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.