AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Feb 10, 2024

Glentoran

Home
VS
15:00

Carrick Rangers

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Glentoran Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Carrick Rangers Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 59%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 2.07 - 1.39
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 1.4
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Glentoran Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Carrick Rangers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 2-0 (7%) 1-0 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Glentoran Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 06 Glentoran vs Cliftonvi… 2-2
Feb 03 Glentoran vs Larne 5-0
Jan 27 Glentoran vs Coleraine… 1-0
Jan 27 Glentoran vs Crusaders… 1-2
Jan 13 Glentoran vs Coleraine… 6-0
Dec 30 Glentoran vs Ballymena… 0-1
Dec 26 Glentoran vs Linfield 2-0
Dec 26 Glentoran vs Newry Cit… 0-4
Dec 23 Glentoran vs Crusaders… 1-3
Dec 23 Glentoran vs Dungannon… 1-2
Carrick Rangers Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 26 Carrick R… vs Cliftonvi… 0-1
Jan 20 Carrick R… vs Coleraine… 0-2
Jan 06 Carrick R… vs Portadown 1-1
Dec 30 Carrick R… vs Crusaders… 2-0
Dec 26 Carrick R… vs Larne 1-2
Dec 15 Carrick R… vs Ballymena… 0-2
Dec 08 Carrick R… vs Crusaders… 0-1
Nov 25 Carrick R… vs Coleraine… 1-1
Nov 19 Carrick R… vs Cliftonvi… 0-3
Nov 11 Carrick R… vs Dungannon… 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Carrick Rangers struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 04, 2023 Glentoran 2 - 3 Carrick Rangers Premiership
Sep 30, 2023 Carrick Rangers 2 - 1 Glentoran Premiership
Mar 18, 2023 Carrick Rangers 0 - 4 Glentoran Premiership
Mar 07, 2023 Carrick Rangers 1 - 5 Glentoran Premiership
Oct 07, 2022 Glentoran 5 - 0 Carrick Rangers Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Glentoran to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Glentoran Power 0
Carrick Rangers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Glentoran Position

+3

Position Gap

6

Carrick Rangers Position
Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 39%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.