AI Match Insights

FAW Championship Aug 19, 2023

Cwmbran Celtic

Home
VS
13:30

Llantwit Major

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Cwmbran Celtic Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Llantwit Major Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 57% Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 3.80 - 2.60
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 2.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Cwmbran Celtic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Llantwit Major Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-2 (5%) 3-3 (4%) 2-2 (4%) 3-1 (4%) 2-3 (4%) 2-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Under 2.5 Goals 27%
Cwmbran Celtic Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 12 Cwmbran C… vs Caernarfo… 0-1
Apr 01 Cwmbran C… vs Ynyshir A… 1-0
Mar 11 Cwmbran C… vs Llantwit … 1-2
Feb 11 Cwmbran C… vs Ynyshir A… 4-1
Jan 28 Cwmbran C… vs Caernarfo… 4-3
Nov 12 Cwmbran C… vs Caernarfo… 4-3
Oct 22 Cwmbran C… vs Caernarfo… 3-5
Oct 08 Cwmbran C… vs Llantwit … 2-2
Aug 13 Cwmbran C… vs Llantwit … 0-2
Apr 30 Cwmbran C… vs Llantwit … 0-5
Llantwit Major Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 12 Llantwit … vs Baglan Dr… 1-4
Jul 29 Llantwit … vs Caernarfo… 1-2
Apr 15 Llantwit … vs Ynyshir A… 3-1
Mar 25 Llantwit … vs Afan Lido 2-0
Mar 11 Llantwit … vs Cwmbran C… 1-2
Feb 25 Llantwit … vs Caernarfo… 0-0
Oct 08 Llantwit … vs Cwmbran C… 2-2
Oct 01 Llantwit … vs Ynyshir A… 4-0
Aug 19 Llantwit … vs Afan Lido 2-2
Aug 13 Llantwit … vs Cwmbran C… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cwmbran Celtic struggling (4L in last 5) Home
  • Llantwit Major struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 11, 2023 Cwmbran Celtic 1 - 2 Llantwit Major FAW Championsh…
Oct 08, 2022 Cwmbran Celtic 2 - 2 Llantwit Major Welsh Cup
Aug 13, 2022 Llantwit Major 0 - 2 Cwmbran Celtic FAW Championsh…
Apr 30, 2022 Cwmbran Celtic 0 - 5 Llantwit Major FAW Championsh…
Jul 24, 2021 Llantwit Major 2 - 0 Cwmbran Celtic FAW Championsh…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Cwmbran Celtic to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cwmbran Celtic Power 0
Llantwit Major Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.