AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX Nov 14, 2025

CancĂșn

Home
VS
01:15

Monarcas

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
CancĂșn Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Monarcas Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 93%
Standings 37%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 2.15 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.2
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
CancĂșn Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Monarcas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (21%) 3-0 (16%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Under 2.5 Goals 61%
CancĂșn Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 09 CancĂșn vs Leones Ne
 0-1
Nov 02 CancĂșn vs Atlante FC 1-1
Oct 26 CancĂșn vs Correcami
 5-0
Oct 18 CancĂșn vs TepatitlĂĄn 1-2
Oct 11 CancĂșn vs Irapuato 0-0
Oct 04 CancĂșn vs CA La Paz 2-4
Sep 28 CancĂșn vs TapatĂ­o 1-0
Sep 21 CancĂșn vs CDS Tampi
 2-1
Sep 14 CancĂșn vs Venados FC 1-0
Sep 06 CancĂșn vs Mineros d
 0-0
Monarcas Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 09 Monarcas vs CDS Tampi
 0-0
Nov 02 Monarcas vs Tlaxcala 0-1
Oct 26 Monarcas vs Leones Ne
 2-3
Oct 19 Monarcas vs Irapuato 0-3
Oct 12 Monarcas vs TapatĂ­o 0-0
Oct 04 Monarcas vs TepatitlĂĄn 3-2
Sep 28 Monarcas vs Atlante FC 0-2
Sep 20 Monarcas vs CA La Paz 3-0
Sep 14 Monarcas vs Dorados 2-1
Sep 05 Monarcas vs Venados FC 2-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 24, 2025 CancĂșn 5 - 0 Monarcas Liga de Expans

Apr 13, 2025 Monarcas 2 - 1 CancĂșn Liga de Expans

Oct 25, 2024 CancĂșn 3 - 1 Monarcas Liga de Expans

Mar 15, 2024 Monarcas 0 - 1 CancĂșn Liga de Expans

Aug 20, 2023 CancĂșn 2 - 0 Monarcas Liga de Expans

Mar 02, 2023 CancĂșn 1 - 0 Monarcas Liga de Expans

Sep 23, 2022 Monarcas 0 - 0 CancĂșn Liga de Expans

Feb 18, 2022 Monarcas 4 - 1 CancĂșn Liga de Expans

Oct 14, 2021 CancĂșn 0 - 1 Monarcas Liga de Expans

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
CancĂșn Power 0
Monarcas Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

CancĂșn Position

+1

Position Gap

5

Monarcas Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.