AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX Sep 23, 2022

Monarcas

Home
VS
22:00

CancĂșn

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Monarcas Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
CancĂșn Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 20%
xG: 4.50 - 0.22
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Monarcas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
CancĂșn Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Monarcas Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 27 Monarcas vs Alebrijes
 1-3
Aug 05 Monarcas vs Correcami
 1-0
Apr 29 Monarcas vs Mineros d
 2-2
Apr 27 Monarcas vs Mineros d
 3-3
Feb 18 Monarcas vs CancĂșn 4-1
Feb 09 Monarcas vs Correcami
 1-1
Jan 29 Monarcas vs Alebrijes
 1-1
Jan 12 Monarcas vs Mineros d
 1-2
Oct 14 Monarcas vs CancĂșn 0-1
Sep 24 Monarcas vs Alebrijes
 1-0
CancĂșn Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 17 CancĂșn vs Alebrijes
 0-0
Jul 20 CancĂșn vs Tlaxcala 1-0
Apr 07 CancĂșn vs Tlaxcala 1-0
Feb 18 CancĂșn vs Monarcas 4-1
Jan 18 CancĂșn vs Dorados 1-2
Jan 06 CancĂșn vs Alebrijes
 2-0
Nov 10 CancĂșn vs Alebrijes
 1-2
Nov 02 CancĂșn vs Tlaxcala 3-1
Oct 14 CancĂșn vs Monarcas 0-1
Sep 03 CancĂșn vs Dorados 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Monarcas in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 18, 2022 Monarcas 4 - 1 CancĂșn Liga de Expans

Oct 14, 2021 CancĂșn 0 - 1 Monarcas Liga de Expans

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Monarcas Power 0
CancĂșn Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Monarcas Position

-1

Position Gap

4

CancĂșn Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.