AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Charity Shield Jul 04, 2025

Linfield

Home
VS
18:45

Dungannon Swifts

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Linfield Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Dungannon Swifts Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 1.28 - 0.71
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.7
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Linfield Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Dungannon Swifts Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 0-0 (14%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 37%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Under 2.5 Goals 68%
Linfield Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 26 Linfield vs Coleraine… 1-0
Apr 18 Linfield vs Larne 2-1
Apr 12 Linfield vs Dungannon… 2-0
Apr 05 Linfield vs Glentoran 2-1
Apr 01 Linfield vs Crusaders… 3-1
Mar 24 Linfield vs Dungannon… 0-3
Mar 07 Linfield vs Crusaders… 0-2
Feb 22 Linfield vs Coleraine… 0-2
Feb 11 Linfield vs Larne 1-0
Feb 07 Linfield vs Ballymena… 2-2
Dungannon Swifts Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 26 Dungannon… vs Crusaders… 1-0
Apr 19 Dungannon… vs Glentoran 3-2
Apr 12 Dungannon… vs Linfield 2-0
Apr 01 Dungannon… vs Larne 1-1
Mar 29 Dungannon… vs Bangor 0-2
Mar 24 Dungannon… vs Linfield 0-3
Mar 15 Dungannon… vs Portadown 1-1
Mar 08 Dungannon… vs Ballymena… 0-3
Mar 01 Dungannon… vs Carrick R… 1-3
Feb 22 Dungannon… vs Larne 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Linfield in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Dungannon Swifts in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 12, 2025 Linfield 2 - 0 Dungannon Swifts Premiership
Mar 24, 2025 Dungannon Swifts 0 - 3 Linfield Premiership
Dec 17, 2024 Dungannon Swifts 0 - 1 Linfield Premiership
Aug 17, 2024 Linfield 3 - 1 Dungannon Swifts Premiership
Jan 27, 2024 Linfield 1 - 2 Dungannon Swifts Premiership
Jan 16, 2024 Dungannon Swifts 1 - 2 Linfield League Cup
Dec 09, 2023 Linfield 4 - 3 Dungannon Swifts Premiership
Aug 12, 2023 Dungannon Swifts 2 - 3 Linfield Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Linfield to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Linfield Power 0
Dungannon Swifts Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.