AI Match Insights

Premiership Dec 09, 2023

Linfield

Home
VS
15:00

Dungannon Swifts

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Linfield Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Dungannon Swifts Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 63%
Market 50%
Combined: 63% Draw Risk: 17%
xG: 3.53 - 0.28
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 0.3
Score Prediction Analysis
Linfield Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Dungannon Swifts Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
76%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (16%) 2-0 (14%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 0-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 24%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Linfield Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 05 Linfield vs Larne 2-2
Nov 25 Linfield vs Ballymena… 4-0
Nov 11 Linfield vs Larne 1-2
Nov 04 Linfield vs Newry Cit… 0-3
Oct 13 Linfield vs Carrick R… 1-2
Sep 30 Linfield vs Newry Cit… 6-1
Sep 26 Linfield vs Crusaders… 2-0
Sep 15 Linfield vs Larne 2-0
Sep 02 Linfield vs Coleraine… 1-3
Aug 26 Linfield vs Carrick R… 3-3
Dungannon Swifts Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 11 Dungannon… vs Carrick R… 2-3
Nov 04 Dungannon… vs Glentoran 1-0
Oct 28 Dungannon… vs Ballymena… 1-1
Oct 21 Dungannon… vs Crusaders… 1-4
Oct 13 Dungannon… vs Larne 0-0
Sep 30 Dungannon… vs Ballymena… 0-1
Sep 16 Dungannon… vs Glentoran 0-0
Sep 09 Dungannon… vs Glentoran 3-1
Sep 01 Dungannon… vs Carrick R… 2-1
Aug 15 Dungannon… vs Crusaders… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Linfield in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Dungannon Swifts struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 12, 2023 Dungannon Swifts 2 - 3 Linfield Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Linfield Power 0
Dungannon Swifts Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Linfield Position

+1

Position Gap

5

Dungannon Swifts Position

Home Win Rate: 77%
Away Win Rate: 39%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.