AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Mar 01, 2025

Wigan

Home
VS
15:00

Reading FC

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Wigan Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Reading FC Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 2.63 - 0.79
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 0.8
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Wigan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Reading FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (11%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 51%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Wigan Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 25 Wigan vs Huddersfi… 2-1
Feb 22 Wigan vs Wycombe 0-0
Feb 18 Wigan vs Crawley T… 1-1
Feb 15 Wigan vs Stockport 0-2
Feb 01 Wigan vs Lincoln 1-1
Jan 28 Wigan vs Peterboro… 1-0
Jan 25 Wigan vs Bristol C… 2-0
Jan 21 Wigan vs Bolton 1-2
Jan 21 Wigan vs Brighton 1-2
Jan 18 Wigan vs Stevenage 1-2
Reading FC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 22 Reading FC vs Birmingham 0-0
Feb 15 Reading FC vs Rotherham… 2-1
Feb 11 Reading FC vs Shrewsbury 1-1
Feb 08 Reading FC vs Huddersfi… 0-0
Feb 01 Reading FC vs Bolton 1-0
Jan 28 Reading FC vs Bolton 3-2
Jan 28 Reading FC vs Brighton 3-2
Jan 25 Reading FC vs Leyton Or… 2-0
Jan 18 Reading FC vs Stockport 1-3
Jan 11 Reading FC vs Burnley 1-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 17, 2024 Reading FC 2 - 0 Wigan League One
Aug 17, 2024 Reading FC 2 - 0 Wigan Pro League
Jan 20, 2024 Wigan 1 - 0 Reading FC League One
Jan 20, 2024 Wigan 1 - 0 Reading FC Pro League
Dec 23, 2023 Reading FC 2 - 0 Wigan League One
Dec 23, 2023 Reading FC 2 - 0 Wigan Pro League
Apr 29, 2023 Reading FC 1 - 1 Wigan Championship
Sep 17, 2022 Wigan 0 - 1 Reading FC Championship
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Wigan Power 33
Reading FC Power 37
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

20

Wigan Position

-10

Position Gap

10

Reading FC Position
Home Win Rate: 39%
Away Win Rate: 23%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.