AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Aug 17, 2024

Reading FC

Home
VS
14:00

Wigan

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Reading FC Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Wigan Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 75%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 3.07 - 1.65
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.1 vs 1.6 Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Reading FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Wigan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 3-2 (6%) 2-2 (6%) 1-1 (5%) 3-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Under 2.5 Goals 25%
Reading FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 10 Reading FC vs Birmingham 1-1
Apr 27 Reading FC vs Blackpool 3-2
Apr 27 Reading FC vs Blackpool 3-2
Apr 20 Reading FC vs Bolton 3-2
Apr 20 Reading FC vs Brighton 3-2
Apr 13 Reading FC vs Burnley 2-2
Apr 13 Reading FC vs Burnley 2-2
Apr 09 Reading FC vs Bristol C… 0-2
Apr 06 Reading FC vs Lincoln 1-1
Apr 01 Reading FC vs Bolton 5-2
Wigan Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 13 Wigan vs Burnley 1-1
Aug 10 Wigan vs Charlton 0-1
Aug 03 Wigan vs Barrow 1-0
Apr 27 Wigan vs Bristol C… 2-0
Apr 27 Wigan vs Bristol R… 2-0
Apr 20 Wigan vs Portsmout… 1-2
Apr 20 Wigan vs Portsmout… 1-2
Apr 13 Wigan vs Lincoln 1-2
Apr 13 Wigan vs Lincoln 1-2
Apr 09 Wigan vs Charlton 2-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 20, 2024 Wigan 1 - 0 Reading FC League One
Jan 20, 2024 Wigan 1 - 0 Reading FC Pro League
Dec 23, 2023 Reading FC 2 - 0 Wigan League One
Dec 23, 2023 Reading FC 2 - 0 Wigan Pro League
Apr 29, 2023 Reading FC 1 - 1 Wigan Championship
Sep 17, 2022 Wigan 0 - 1 Reading FC Championship
Final Verdict

PRO: Reading FC to win (73% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 73% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Reading FC Power 37
Wigan Power 33
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Reading FC Position

+10

Position Gap

20

Wigan Position
Home Win Rate: 47%
Away Win Rate: 13%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.