AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Jan 20, 2024

Wigan

Home
VS
15:00

Reading FC

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Wigan Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Reading FC Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 52%
xG: 1.32 - 0.35
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.3
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Wigan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Reading FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
71%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (25%) 0-0 (19%) 2-0 (16%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (7%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Under 2.5 Goals 77%
Wigan Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 16 Wigan vs Doncaster 1-1
Jan 13 Wigan vs Northampt… 1-1
Jan 01 Wigan vs Burnley 1-1
Jan 01 Wigan vs Burnley 1-1
Dec 29 Wigan vs Carlisle 2-0
Dec 26 Wigan vs Derby 0-1
Dec 23 Wigan vs Reading FC 2-0
Dec 23 Wigan vs Reading FC 2-0
Dec 16 Wigan vs Port Vale 3-2
Dec 09 Wigan vs Lincoln 0-0
Reading FC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 01 Reading FC vs Exeter Ci… 3-2
Jan 01 Reading FC vs Exeter Ci… 3-2
Dec 29 Reading FC vs Chelsea 2-2
Dec 26 Reading FC vs Peterboro… 2-2
Dec 26 Reading FC vs Peterboro… 2-2
Dec 23 Reading FC vs Wigan 2-0
Dec 23 Reading FC vs Wigan 2-0
Dec 16 Reading FC vs Lincoln 1-1
Dec 12 Reading FC vs Oxford Un… 1-1
Dec 09 Reading FC vs Burnley 1-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 23, 2023 Reading FC 2 - 0 Wigan League One
Dec 23, 2023 Reading FC 2 - 0 Wigan Pro League
Apr 29, 2023 Reading FC 1 - 1 Wigan Championship
Sep 17, 2022 Wigan 0 - 1 Reading FC Championship
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Wigan Power 33
Reading FC Power 37
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

20

Wigan Position

-10

Position Gap

10

Reading FC Position
Home Win Rate: 39%
Away Win Rate: 23%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.