AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Dec 23, 2023

Reading FC

Home
VS
15:00

Wigan

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Reading FC Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Wigan Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 75%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 3.25 - 0.95
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 0.9 Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Reading FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Wigan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
39%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 1-0 (5%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Under 2.5 Goals 32%
Reading FC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 16 Reading FC vs Lincoln 1-1
Dec 12 Reading FC vs Oxford Un… 1-1
Dec 09 Reading FC vs Burnley 1-3
Dec 09 Reading FC vs Burnley 1-3
Nov 28 Reading FC vs Carlisle 5-1
Nov 25 Reading FC vs Wycombe 1-2
Oct 07 Reading FC vs Leyton Or… 2-1
Oct 03 Reading FC vs Northampt… 3-1
Sep 30 Reading FC vs Brighton 0-0
Sep 23 Reading FC vs Blackpool 4-1
Wigan Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 16 Wigan vs Port Vale 3-2
Dec 09 Wigan vs Lincoln 0-0
Dec 09 Wigan vs Lincoln 0-0
Dec 06 Wigan vs Stockport 2-0
Nov 28 Wigan vs Fleetwood… 3-0
Nov 25 Wigan vs Leyton Or… 1-1
Nov 07 Wigan vs Peterboro… 2-1
Oct 07 Wigan vs Stevenage 1-0
Oct 03 Wigan vs Brighton 2-1
Sep 02 Wigan vs Blackpool 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 29, 2023 Reading FC 1 - 1 Wigan Championship
Sep 17, 2022 Wigan 0 - 1 Reading FC Championship
Final Verdict

PRO: Reading FC to win (73% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 73% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Reading FC Power 37
Wigan Power 33
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Reading FC Position

+10

Position Gap

20

Wigan Position
Home Win Rate: 47%
Away Win Rate: 13%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.