AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
African Nations Championship Aug 18, 2025

South Africa

Home
VS
17:00

Uganda

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
South Africa Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Uganda Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 3.25 - 0.60
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
South Africa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Uganda Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 3-1 (7%) 1-0 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 43%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
South Africa Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 10 South Afr… vs Mozambique 2-0
Jun 07 South Afr… vs Zimbabwe 2-0
Jun 06 South Afr… vs Tanzania 0-0
Apr 10 South Afr… vs Morocco 3-1
Apr 06 South Afr… vs Burkina F… 2-0
Apr 03 South Afr… vs Cameroon 0-0
Mar 31 South Afr… vs Egypt 4-3
Mar 09 South Afr… vs Egypt 1-3
Mar 02 South Afr… vs Egypt 1-1
Jun 11 South Afr… vs Zimbabwe 3-1
Uganda Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 24 Uganda vs Arsenal 1-2
Jul 22 Uganda vs Tanzania 1-0
Jun 06 Uganda vs Cameroon 3-0
May 31 Uganda vs Trinidad … 0-4
May 28 Uganda vs Algeria 1-2
Mar 28 Uganda vs Tanzania 0-1
Mar 24 Uganda vs Tanzania 0-1
Nov 28 Uganda vs South Kor… 2-3
Sep 24 Uganda vs Tanzania 1-0
Jun 10 Uganda vs Japan U17 4-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Uganda struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: South Africa to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
South Africa Power 0
Uganda Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.