AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Segunda División Sep 08, 2024

Atenas

Home
VS
18:00

Tacuarembó

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Atenas Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Tacuarembó Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 77%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.19 - 0.38
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.4
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Atenas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Tacuarembó Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (25%) 0-0 (21%) 2-0 (15%) 1-1 (9%) 0-1 (8%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Under 2.5 Goals 79%
Atenas Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 26 Atenas vs Tacuarembó 2-0
Dec 04 Atenas vs Potencia 3-0
Nov 29 Atenas vs Bella Vis… 1-1
Nov 26 Atenas vs Rentistas… 0-2
Nov 21 Atenas vs Miramar 0-1
Nov 14 Atenas vs Progreso 1-1
Oct 15 Atenas vs Tacuarembó 1-0
May 28 Atenas vs Tacuarembó 1-1
Oct 16 Atenas vs Tacuarembó 0-0
Aug 13 Atenas vs Tacuarembó 1-0
Tacuarembó Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
May 26 Tacuarembó vs Atenas 2-0
Dec 03 Tacuarembó vs Oriental 1-1
Nov 29 Tacuarembó vs Uruguay M… 2-0
Nov 26 Tacuarembó vs Cerrito 0-1
Nov 19 Tacuarembó vs Albion FC 1-2
Nov 15 Tacuarembó vs Potencia 1-2
Oct 15 Tacuarembó vs Atenas 1-0
May 28 Tacuarembó vs Atenas 1-1
Oct 16 Tacuarembó vs Atenas 0-0
Aug 13 Tacuarembó vs Atenas 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tacuarembó in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 26, 2024 Tacuarembó 2 - 0 Atenas Segunda Divisi…
Oct 15, 2023 Atenas 1 - 0 Tacuarembó Segunda Divisi…
May 28, 2023 Tacuarembó 1 - 1 Atenas Segunda Divisi…
Oct 16, 2020 Tacuarembó 0 - 0 Atenas Segunda Divisi…
Aug 13, 2020 Atenas 1 - 0 Tacuarembó Segunda Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Atenas to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Atenas Power 0
Tacuarembó Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.