AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Dec 12, 2025

Larne

Home
VS
19:45

Glentoran

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Larne Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Glentoran Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 55%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 2.94 - 0.26
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 0.3
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Larne Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Glentoran Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
77%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (18%) 3-0 (17%) 1-0 (12%) 2-1 (5%) 3-1 (4%) 0-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
Larne Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 05 Larne vs Linfield 0-0
Dec 02 Larne vs Ballymena… 2-0
Nov 29 Larne vs Dungannon… 1-2
Nov 25 Larne vs Coleraine… 1-2
Nov 21 Larne vs Glentoran 2-1
Nov 07 Larne vs Portadown 3-0
Nov 04 Larne vs Bangor 2-1
Nov 01 Larne vs Ballymena… 0-2
Oct 25 Larne vs Bangor 1-1
Oct 18 Larne vs Cliftonvi… 0-2
Glentoran Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 06 Glentoran vs Cliftonvi… 2-2
Dec 06 Glentoran vs Bangor 1-2
Dec 02 Glentoran vs Cliftonvi… 0-0
Nov 29 Glentoran vs Ballymena… 3-1
Nov 28 Glentoran vs Bangor 1-1
Nov 21 Glentoran vs Larne 2-1
Nov 21 Glentoran vs Dungannon… 0-1
Nov 15 Glentoran vs Crusaders… 4-1
Nov 08 Glentoran vs Glentoran 3-1
Nov 04 Glentoran vs Newry Cit… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Larne in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 21, 2025 Larne 2 - 1 Glentoran Premiership
Sep 13, 2025 Larne 1 - 0 Glentoran Premiership
Apr 26, 2025 Larne 0 - 0 Glentoran Premiership
Mar 22, 2025 Glentoran 0 - 1 Larne Premiership
Mar 18, 2025 Glentoran 2 - 2 Larne Premiership
Feb 18, 2025 Larne 1 - 1 Glentoran Premiership
Nov 02, 2024 Glentoran 0 - 2 Larne Premiership
Sep 20, 2024 Larne 2 - 0 Glentoran Premiership
Sep 17, 2024 Glentoran 0 - 0 Larne Premiership
Apr 16, 2024 Glentoran 1 - 2 Larne Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Larne to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Larne Power 0
Glentoran Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Larne Position

+2

Position Gap

3

Glentoran Position
Home Win Rate: 77%
Away Win Rate: 69%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.