AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Dec 06, 2025

Coleraine FC

Home
VS
15:00

Carrick Rangers

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Coleraine FC Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Carrick Rangers Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 68%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 18%
xG: 4.50 - 0.69
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.7
Score Prediction Analysis
Coleraine FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Carrick Rangers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 3-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Coleraine FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 02 Coleraine… vs Moyola Pa… 0-2
Nov 29 Coleraine… vs Crusaders… 0-2
Nov 25 Coleraine… vs Larne 1-2
Nov 22 Coleraine… vs Cliftonvi… 1-0
Nov 08 Coleraine… vs Linfield 1-1
Nov 04 Coleraine… vs Armagh Ci… 7-1
Nov 01 Coleraine… vs Glentoran 5-1
Oct 28 Coleraine… vs Linfield 2-2
Oct 25 Coleraine… vs Portadown 0-2
Oct 18 Coleraine… vs Dungannon… 4-0
Carrick Rangers Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 29 Carrick R… vs Linfield 3-1
Nov 22 Carrick R… vs Portadown 1-2
Nov 08 Carrick R… vs Crusaders… 1-2
Oct 31 Carrick R… vs Bangor 0-1
Oct 25 Carrick R… vs Cliftonvi… 0-1
Oct 18 Carrick R… vs Glentoran 1-0
Oct 11 Carrick R… vs Portadown 1-0
Oct 07 Carrick R… vs Armagh Ci… 3-2
Oct 04 Carrick R… vs Ballymena… 1-2
Sep 27 Carrick R… vs Coleraine… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Carrick Rangers struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 27, 2025 Coleraine FC 2 - 1 Carrick Rangers Premiership
Feb 08, 2025 Carrick Rangers 0 - 1 Coleraine FC Premiership
Oct 12, 2024 Carrick Rangers 2 - 1 Coleraine FC Premiership
Sep 14, 2024 Coleraine FC 3 - 1 Carrick Rangers Premiership
Jan 20, 2024 Coleraine FC 0 - 2 Carrick Rangers Premiership
Nov 25, 2023 Coleraine FC 1 - 1 Carrick Rangers Premiership
Aug 15, 2023 Carrick Rangers 2 - 0 Coleraine FC Premiership
Jan 24, 2023 Coleraine FC 1 - 0 Carrick Rangers Premiership
Nov 05, 2022 Carrick Rangers 0 - 1 Coleraine FC Premiership
Aug 23, 2022 Carrick Rangers 2 - 4 Coleraine FC Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Coleraine FC to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Coleraine FC Power 0
Carrick Rangers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Coleraine FC Position

+4

Position Gap

6

Carrick Rangers Position
Home Win Rate: 77%
Away Win Rate: 39%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.