AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
W-League Dec 12, 2025

Perth Glory Women

Home
VS
11:00

Wellington Phoenix Women

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Perth Glory Women Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Wellington Phoenix Women Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 52%
xG: 1.46 - 0.52
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.5
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Perth Glory Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Wellington Phoenix Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 2-0 (15%) 0-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (8%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Under 2.5 Goals 69%
Perth Glory Women Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 30 Perth Glo… vs Melbourne… 3-0
Nov 22 Perth Glo… vs Canberra … 3-0
Nov 15 Perth Glo… vs Sydney FC… 2-0
Nov 07 Perth Glo… vs Brisbane … 2-3
Oct 31 Perth Glo… vs Western S… 1-3
Apr 18 Perth Glo… vs Melbourne… 1-5
Apr 12 Perth Glo… vs Sydney FC… 1-0
Mar 29 Perth Glo… vs Canberra … 1-2
Mar 22 Perth Glo… vs Western S… 1-0
Mar 14 Perth Glo… vs Central C… 3-3
Wellington Phoenix Women Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 07 Wellingto… vs Melbourne… 1-0
Nov 23 Wellingto… vs Melbourne… 1-0
Nov 16 Wellingto… vs Newcastle… 1-1
Nov 08 Wellingto… vs Canberra … 1-1
Apr 20 Wellingto… vs Western U… 1-1
Apr 13 Wellingto… vs Canberra … 1-0
Mar 30 Wellingto… vs Melbourne… 0-1
Mar 22 Wellingto… vs Central C… 0-2
Mar 15 Wellingto… vs Sydney FC… 2-1
Mar 09 Wellingto… vs Western S… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Perth Glory Women struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 16, 2025 Perth Glory Women 2 - 1 Wellington Phoenix … W-League
Jan 04, 2025 Wellington Phoenix … 2 - 0 Perth Glory Women W-League
Mar 08, 2024 Perth Glory Women 1 - 3 Wellington Phoenix … W-League
Nov 25, 2023 Wellington Phoenix … 2 - 1 Perth Glory Women W-League
Mar 18, 2023 Wellington Phoenix … 0 - 1 Perth Glory Women W-League
Jan 15, 2023 Perth Glory Women 2 - 0 Wellington Phoenix … W-League
Mar 04, 2022 Wellington Phoenix … 1 - 3 Perth Glory Women W-League
Jan 31, 2022 Perth Glory Women 3 - 2 Wellington Phoenix … W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Perth Glory Women Power 0
Wellington Phoenix Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Perth Glory Women Position

-5

Position Gap

3

Wellington Phoenix Women Position
Home Win Rate: 57%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.