AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Segunda División Feb 05, 2022

Sporting Gijón

Home
VS
19:30

Eibar

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Sporting Gijón Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Eibar Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 71%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 49%
xG: 1.60 - 0.70
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.7
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sporting Gijón Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Eibar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 40%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
Sporting Gijón Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 15 Sporting … vs Cadiz 0-0
Jan 09 Sporting … vs Malaga 2-2
Nov 12 Sporting … vs Real Soci… 0-1
Sep 26 Sporting … vs Malaga 2-1
Sep 10 Sporting … vs Levante 2-1
Aug 28 Sporting … vs Mirandes 2-1
Jul 28 Sporting … vs Real Soci… 0-2
Eibar Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 24 Eibar vs Almería 0-2
Dec 06 Eibar vs Zaragoza 1-0
Oct 31 Eibar vs Valladolid 2-0
Oct 15 Eibar vs Almería 1-0
Oct 09 Eibar vs Mirandes 3-3
Aug 29 Eibar vs Burgos 0-1
Apr 22 Eibar vs Granada 4-1
Feb 20 Eibar vs Elche 1-0
Feb 13 Eibar vs Valladolid 1-1
Jan 03 Eibar vs Granada 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sporting Gijón Power 35
Eibar Power 35
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Sporting Gijón Position

+4

Position Gap

13

Eibar Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.