AI Match Insights

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FA Women's Cup Apr 12, 2025

Chelsea Women

Home
VS
11:15

Liverpool Women

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Chelsea Women Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Liverpool Women Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 14%
xG: 3.68 - 0.63
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.7 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Chelsea Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Liverpool Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-0 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Chelsea Women Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 30 Chelsea W… vs West Ham … 2-2
Mar 27 Chelsea W… vs Mancheste… 3-0
Mar 23 Chelsea W… vs Mancheste… 1-2
Mar 19 Chelsea W… vs Mancheste… 2-0
Mar 15 Chelsea W… vs Mancheste… 2-1
Mar 09 Chelsea W… vs Crystal P… 1-0
Mar 02 Chelsea W… vs Brighton … 2-2
Feb 16 Chelsea W… vs Everton W… 2-1
Feb 09 Chelsea W… vs Everton W… 4-1
Feb 05 Chelsea W… vs West Ham … 2-0
Liverpool Women Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 30 Liverpool… vs Aston Vil… 1-2
Mar 22 Liverpool… vs Arsenal W… 4-0
Mar 14 Liverpool… vs Mancheste… 3-1
Mar 09 Liverpool… vs Arsenal W… 0-1
Feb 02 Liverpool… vs West Ham … 1-0
Jan 29 Liverpool… vs West Ham … 0-5
Jan 17 Liverpool… vs Brighton … 2-1
Dec 15 Liverpool… vs Arsenal W… 0-1
Dec 08 Liverpool… vs Mancheste… 4-0
Nov 10 Liverpool… vs Chelsea W… 0-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Chelsea Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Liverpool Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 10, 2024 Liverpool Women 0 - 3 Chelsea Women FA WSL
May 01, 2024 Liverpool Women 4 - 3 Chelsea Women FA WSL
Nov 18, 2023 Chelsea Women 5 - 1 Liverpool Women FA WSL
May 03, 2023 Chelsea Women 2 - 1 Liverpool Women FA WSL
Jan 29, 2023 Chelsea Women 3 - 2 Liverpool Women FA Women's Cup
Sep 18, 2022 Liverpool Women 2 - 1 Chelsea Women FA WSL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Chelsea Women to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Chelsea Women Power 44
Liverpool Women Power 38
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.