AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FA WSL May 03, 2023

Chelsea Women

Home
VS
18:15

Liverpool Women

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Chelsea Women Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Liverpool Women Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 85%
Market 50%
Combined: 57% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 3.91 - 0.23
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.9 vs 0.2 Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Chelsea Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Liverpool Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (16%) 2-0 (12%) 1-0 (6%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 0-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Chelsea Women Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 27 Chelsea W… vs Barcelona… 1-1
Apr 22 Chelsea W… vs Barcelona… 0-1
Mar 08 Chelsea W… vs Brighton … 3-1
Mar 05 Chelsea W… vs Arsenal W… 3-1
Feb 26 Chelsea W… vs Arsenal W… 2-0
Feb 09 Chelsea W… vs West Ham … 0-7
Jan 29 Chelsea W… vs Liverpool… 3-2
Jan 15 Chelsea W… vs Arsenal W… 1-1
Oct 23 Chelsea W… vs Brighton … 0-2
Oct 16 Chelsea W… vs Everton W… 1-3
Liverpool Women Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 02 Liverpool… vs West Ham … 0-0
Mar 12 Liverpool… vs Tottenham… 2-1
Mar 08 Liverpool… vs Arsenal W… 2-0
Jan 29 Liverpool… vs Chelsea W… 3-2
Jan 25 Liverpool… vs West Ham … 0-1
Jan 15 Liverpool… vs Mancheste… 6-0
Dec 04 Liverpool… vs West Ham … 2-0
Nov 06 Liverpool… vs Aston Vil… 0-1
Oct 23 Liverpool… vs Arsenal W… 0-2
Oct 16 Liverpool… vs Tottenham… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Liverpool Women struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 29, 2023 Chelsea Women 3 - 2 Liverpool Women FA Women's Cup
Sep 18, 2022 Liverpool Women 2 - 1 Chelsea Women FA WSL
Final Verdict

PRO: Chelsea Women to win (74% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 2-1 74% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Chelsea Women Power 44
Liverpool Women Power 38
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Chelsea Women Position

+10

Position Gap

12

Liverpool Women Position
Home Win Rate: 71%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.