AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Jun 12, 2024

RB Bragantino

Home
VS
00:30

Atletico-MG

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
RB Bragantino Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Atletico-MG Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 87%
Market 50%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 1.95 - 0.26
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.3 Position gap: 11 places
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
RB Bragantino Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Atletico-MG Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
77%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 2-0 (21%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Under 2.5 Goals 63%
RB Bragantino Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 28 RB Bragan… vs Fortaleza 1-1
Apr 20 RB Bragan… vs Corinthia… 1-0
Mar 27 RB Bragan… vs Santos 3-1
Mar 03 RB Bragan… vs Remo 1-0
Mar 03 RB Bragan… vs Santos 1-0
Feb 25 RB Bragan… vs Cametá 1-0
Feb 17 RB Bragan… vs São Paulo… 2-2
Feb 10 RB Bragan… vs São Berna… 1-1
Jan 27 RB Bragan… vs Botafogo 1-1
Dec 07 RB Bragan… vs Vasco DA … 2-1
Atletico-MG Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 02 Atletico-… vs Bahia 1-1
May 22 Atletico-… vs Sport Rec… 1-0
Apr 21 Atletico-… vs Cruzeiro 3-0
Apr 07 Atletico-… vs Cruzeiro 1-3
Mar 30 Atletico-… vs Cruzeiro 2-2
Mar 17 Atletico-… vs América M… 2-1
Mar 09 Atletico-… vs América M… 2-0
Feb 24 Atletico-… vs América M… 1-1
Feb 14 Atletico-… vs Tombense 1-1
Dec 07 Atletico-… vs Bahia 4-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • RB Bragantino in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 26, 2023 RB Bragantino 1 - 2 Atletico-MG Serie A
Jun 10, 2023 Atletico-MG 1 - 1 RB Bragantino Serie A
Sep 07, 2022 Atletico-MG 1 - 1 RB Bragantino Serie A
May 11, 2022 RB Bragantino 1 - 1 Atletico-MG Serie A
Dec 05, 2021 Atletico-MG 4 - 3 RB Bragantino Serie A
Aug 29, 2021 RB Bragantino 1 - 1 Atletico-MG Serie A
Jan 11, 2021 RB Bragantino 2 - 2 Atletico-MG Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: RB Bragantino to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
RB Bragantino Power 0
Atletico-MG Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

RB Bragantino Position

+11

Position Gap

12

Atletico-MG Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.