AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Dec 06, 2025

Stenhousemuir

Home
VS
15:00

Hamilton Academical

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Stenhousemuir Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Hamilton Academical Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 13%
xG: 4.50 - 0.96
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.0 Position gap: 6 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Stenhousemuir Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Hamilton Academical Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 2-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Stenhousemuir Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 29 Stenhouse… vs Clachnacu… 4-1
Nov 22 Stenhouse… vs Peterhead 1-4
Nov 19 Stenhouse… vs Dumbarton 0-2
Nov 15 Stenhouse… vs East Fife 1-0
Nov 08 Stenhouse… vs Kelty Hea… 2-2
Nov 01 Stenhouse… vs Queen of … 1-1
Oct 25 Stenhouse… vs Alloa Ath… 0-0
Oct 18 Stenhouse… vs Rangers FC 0-1
Oct 11 Stenhouse… vs Motherwel… 4-0
Oct 04 Stenhouse… vs Montrose 3-1
Hamilton Academical Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 29 Hamilton … vs Airdrieon… 4-0
Nov 22 Hamilton … vs Kelty Hea… 3-1
Nov 15 Hamilton … vs Rangers FC 2-1
Nov 11 Hamilton … vs Rangers U… 3-0
Nov 08 Hamilton … vs Peterhead 3-0
Nov 01 Hamilton … vs East Fife 1-1
Oct 24 Hamilton … vs Queen of … 1-2
Oct 18 Hamilton … vs Montrose 0-4
Oct 11 Hamilton … vs Alloa Ath… 1-2
Oct 04 Hamilton … vs Inverness… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Stenhousemuir in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Hamilton Academical in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 27, 2025 Hamilton Academical 2 - 0 Stenhousemuir League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Stenhousemuir to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Stenhousemuir Power 0
Hamilton Academical Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Stenhousemuir Position

+6

Position Gap

8

Hamilton Academical Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.