AI Match Insights

League Cup Oct 12, 2025

Kowloon City

Home
VS
07:00

Eastern District

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Kowloon City Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Eastern District Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 2.86 - 1.46
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 1.5
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Kowloon City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Eastern District Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 2-2 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 2-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Under 2.5 Goals 27%
Kowloon City Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 04 Kowloon C… vs BC Rangers 2-3
Sep 21 Kowloon C… vs Wofoo Tai… 0-2
Sep 13 Kowloon C… vs Eastern 2-1
Aug 31 Kowloon C… vs Eastern D… 0-0
May 25 Kowloon C… vs Hong Kong… 5-3
May 18 Kowloon C… vs North Dis… 0-2
May 11 Kowloon C… vs Warriors 1-2
May 05 Kowloon C… vs Eastern 3-1
Apr 06 Kowloon C… vs Wofoo Tai… 1-3
Mar 30 Kowloon C… vs North Dis… 3-4
Eastern District Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 04 Eastern D… vs North Dis… 1-4
Sep 20 Eastern D… vs Hong Kong… 3-0
Sep 14 Eastern D… vs Kitchee 0-1
Aug 31 Eastern D… vs Kowloon C… 0-0
Apr 30 Eastern D… vs North Dis… 0-2
Oct 29 Eastern D… vs North Dis… 7-0
Nov 28 Eastern D… vs Wofoo Tai… 0-1
Oct 17 Eastern D… vs North Dis… 3-2
May 02 Eastern D… vs Hong Kong… 0-1
Apr 18 Eastern D… vs North Dis… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 31, 2025 Kowloon City 0 - 0 Eastern District Premier League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Kowloon City to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Kowloon City Power 0
Eastern District Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.