AI Match Insights

Esiliiga A Nov 22, 2025

FC Tallinn

Home
VS
11:00

Johvi Phoenix

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
FC Tallinn Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Johvi Phoenix Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 2.89 - 0.50
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 0.5
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Tallinn Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Johvi Phoenix Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%) 3-0 (14%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 37%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
FC Tallinn Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 15 FC Tallinn vs Johvi Pho… 2-2
Nov 09 FC Tallinn vs Luunja 5-2
Nov 08 FC Tallinn vs Vaprus 0-3
Nov 02 FC Tallinn vs Viimsi 1-2
Nov 01 FC Tallinn vs Kuressaare 2-0
Oct 27 FC Tallinn vs Flora II 2-4
Oct 26 FC Tallinn vs Paide 1-1
Oct 23 FC Tallinn vs Nõmme Uni… 1-4
Oct 21 FC Tallinn vs Transvaal 4-0
Oct 19 FC Tallinn vs Elva 1-0
Johvi Phoenix Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 15 Johvi Pho… vs FC Tallinn 2-2
Nov 09 Johvi Pho… vs Paide II 2-0
Nov 02 Johvi Pho… vs Kuressaar… 4-0
Oct 22 Johvi Pho… vs Nõmme Uni… 3-1
Oct 19 Johvi Pho… vs Maardu 2-0
Oct 08 Johvi Pho… vs Narva U21 1-0
Oct 04 Johvi Pho… vs Läänemaa … 8-1
Sep 27 Johvi Pho… vs Tartu Kal… 3-1
Sep 21 Johvi Pho… vs Legion 6-1
Sep 18 Johvi Pho… vs JK Tabasa… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Johvi Phoenix struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 15, 2025 Johvi Phoenix 2 - 2 FC Tallinn Esiliiga A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FC Tallinn to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Tallinn Power 0
Johvi Phoenix Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.