AI Match Insights
C-League Mar 09, 2025
Phnom Penh Crown
HomeVS
11:00
NagaWorld
AwayAI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Phnom Penh Crown Win
Draw
NagaWorld Win
Home Win
(57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
56%
Market
50%
Combined: 42%
Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.77 - 0.51
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Phnom Penh Crown Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
NagaWorld Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (28%)
1-0 (21%)
0-1 (14%)
1-1 (11%)
2-0 (8%)
2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
14%
Under 2.5 Goals
86%
Phnom Penh Crown Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27 | Phnom Pen… vs NagaWorld | 0-4 |
| Feb 16 | Phnom Pen… vs Dangkor S… | 1-2 |
| Feb 09 | Phnom Pen… vs Angkor Ti… | 1-1 |
| Jan 26 | Phnom Pen… vs Svay Rieng | 3-1 |
| Jan 18 | Phnom Pen… vs Life Siha… | 0-5 |
| Jan 12 | Phnom Pen… vs NagaWorld | 0-0 |
| Dec 28 | Phnom Pen… vs Kirivong … | 3-1 |
| Nov 23 | Phnom Pen… vs National … | 3-1 |
| Nov 03 | Phnom Pen… vs Dangkor S… | 1-0 |
| Oct 27 | Phnom Pen… vs Angkor Ti… | 3-1 |
NagaWorld Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 02 | NagaWorld vs Visakha | 1-0 |
| Feb 27 | NagaWorld vs Phnom Pen… | 0-4 |
| Feb 23 | NagaWorld vs Angkor Ti… | 0-2 |
| Feb 02 | NagaWorld vs Dangkor S… | 3-1 |
| Jan 18 | NagaWorld vs Angkor Ti… | 1-1 |
| Jan 12 | NagaWorld vs Phnom Pen… | 0-0 |
| Nov 24 | NagaWorld vs Visakha | 1-1 |
| Nov 09 | NagaWorld vs Kirivong … | 1-5 |
| Oct 24 | NagaWorld vs Dangkor S… | 0-1 |
| Sep 29 | NagaWorld vs Angkor Ti… | 0-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Phnom Penh Crown in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
- NagaWorld struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | NagaWorld | 0 - 4 | Phnom Penh Crown | Hun Sen Cup |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Phnom Penh Crown | 0 - 0 | NagaWorld | C-League |
| Sep 22, 2024 | NagaWorld | 2 - 6 | Phnom Penh Crown | C-League |
| Feb 24, 2024 | NagaWorld | 1 - 1 | Phnom Penh Crown | C-League |
| Dec 08, 2023 | Phnom Penh Crown | 1 - 1 | NagaWorld | C-League |
| Aug 27, 2023 | NagaWorld | 2 - 3 | Phnom Penh Crown | C-League |
| Oct 15, 2022 | NagaWorld | 0 - 2 | Phnom Penh Crown | C-League |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Phnom Penh Crown to win (41% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Phnom Penh Crown Power
0
NagaWorld Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
2
Phnom Penh Crown Position+2
Position Gap4
NagaWorld Position
Home Win Rate: 71%
Away Win Rate: 63%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.