AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Mar 17, 2025

Bukavu Dawa

Home
VS
13:00

Etoile de Kivu

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Bukavu Dawa Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Etoile de Kivu Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.84 - 0.45
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.5
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bukavu Dawa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Etoile de Kivu Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 2-0 (17%) 3-0 (11%) 0-0 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Under 2.5 Goals 61%
Bukavu Dawa Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 12 Bukavu Da… vs Anges Ver… 4-3
Dec 04 Bukavu Da… vs JSK 0-1
Nov 24 Bukavu Da… vs Rangers FC 2-2
Nov 20 Bukavu Da… vs New Jack 0-0
Nov 09 Bukavu Da… vs Céleste 3-0
Nov 03 Bukavu Da… vs Etoile de… 0-1
Oct 27 Bukavu Da… vs Motema Pe… 0-1
Oct 18 Bukavu Da… vs Dauphins … 0-1
Oct 09 Bukavu Da… vs Renaissan… 1-1
Oct 06 Bukavu Da… vs Vita Club 2-2
Etoile de Kivu Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 14 Etoile de… vs Rangers FC 1-0
Dec 28 Etoile de… vs Motema Pe… 1-0
Dec 11 Etoile de… vs Renaissan… 1-1
Dec 08 Etoile de… vs Vita Club 2-0
Dec 01 Etoile de… vs JSK 1-0
Nov 23 Etoile de… vs New Jack 1-0
Nov 03 Etoile de… vs Bukavu Da… 0-1
Oct 19 Etoile de… vs Anges Ver… 2-1
Oct 16 Etoile de… vs Rangers FC 0-1
Oct 12 Etoile de… vs Céleste 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Etoile de Kivu in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 03, 2024 Etoile de Kivu 0 - 1 Bukavu Dawa Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bukavu Dawa Power 0
Etoile de Kivu Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Bukavu Dawa Position

-1

Position Gap

13

Etoile de Kivu Position
Home Win Rate: 22%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.