AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Oct 24, 2024

TP Mazembe

Home
VS
13:00

Don Bosco

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
TP Mazembe Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Don Bosco Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 67%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 17%
xG: 4.50 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
TP Mazembe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Don Bosco Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
TP Mazembe Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 20 TP Mazembe vs Saint Elo… 1-0
Oct 15 TP Mazembe vs Tanganyika 0-0
Oct 05 TP Mazembe vs Malole 1-1
May 22 TP Mazembe vs Saint Elo… 1-0
May 14 TP Mazembe vs Don Bosco 0-4
May 04 TP Mazembe vs Lubumbash… 0-0
May 01 TP Mazembe vs Saint Elo… 1-1
Mar 17 TP Mazembe vs Don Bosco 1-0
Mar 06 TP Mazembe vs Lubumbash… 5-0
Jan 10 TP Mazembe vs Groupe Ba… 1-6
Don Bosco Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 08 Don Bosco vs Malole 6-0
Oct 05 Don Bosco vs Panda B5 1-0
May 14 Don Bosco vs TP Mazembe 0-4
May 12 Don Bosco vs Lubumbash… 2-1
Apr 14 Don Bosco vs Saint Elo… 1-2
Mar 17 Don Bosco vs TP Mazembe 1-0
Mar 13 Don Bosco vs Lubumbash… 2-1
Mar 02 Don Bosco vs Saint Elo… 1-1
Jan 04 Don Bosco vs Panda B5 3-0
Dec 27 Don Bosco vs TP Mazembe 6-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Don Bosco in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 14, 2024 Don Bosco 0 - 4 TP Mazembe Ligue 1
Mar 17, 2024 TP Mazembe 1 - 0 Don Bosco Ligue 1
Dec 27, 2023 TP Mazembe 6 - 1 Don Bosco Ligue 1
Nov 07, 2023 Don Bosco 2 - 2 TP Mazembe Ligue 1
Nov 27, 2022 TP Mazembe 3 - 1 Don Bosco Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: TP Mazembe to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
TP Mazembe Power 0
Don Bosco Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

TP Mazembe Position

+3

Position Gap

4

Don Bosco Position
Home Win Rate: 88%
Away Win Rate: 44%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.