AI Match Insights

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Liga MX U21 Nov 19, 2025

Toluca U21

Home
VS
15:00

Cruz Azul U21

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Toluca U21 Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Cruz Azul U21 Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) M85+S60 (75.3%) TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 93%
Market 50%
Combined: 58% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 2.82 - 0.59
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 0.6 Position gap: 15 places
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Toluca U21 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Cruz Azul U21 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (13%) 3-0 (12%) 1-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Toluca U21 Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 08 Toluca U21 vs Club Amér… 2-0
Nov 01 Toluca U21 vs Atlas U21 2-1
Oct 26 Toluca U21 vs Pachuca U… 1-1
Oct 22 Toluca U21 vs Club Tiju… 2-0
Oct 18 Toluca U21 vs Queretaro… 4-2
Oct 04 Toluca U21 vs Club León… 2-2
Sep 27 Toluca U21 vs Mazatlan … 4-1
Cruz Azul U21 Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 08 Cruz Azul… vs UNAM Puma… 1-1
Oct 31 Cruz Azul… vs Puebla U21 0-1
Oct 25 Cruz Azul… vs Monterrey… 2-1
Oct 21 Cruz Azul… vs Necaxa U21 1-2
Oct 18 Cruz Azul… vs Club Amér… 2-2
Oct 04 Cruz Azul… vs Tigres UA… 1-0
Sep 28 Cruz Azul… vs Club Tiju… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cruz Azul U21 in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

MASTER: Toluca U21 to win (83% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 83% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 15
Toluca U21 Power 0
Cruz Azul U21 Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Toluca U21 Position

+15

Position Gap

18

Cruz Azul U21 Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 42%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.