AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Nov 23, 2025

Independiente Medellin

Home
VS
22:45

Atlético Nacional

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Independiente Medellin Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Atlético Nacional Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 20%
xG: 3.83 - 0.79
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 0.8
Score Prediction Analysis
Independiente Medellin Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Atlético Nacional Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 3-1 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-0 (4%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Independiente Medellin Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 20 Independi… vs Junior 1-0
Nov 14 Independi… vs America d… 3-0
Nov 11 Independi… vs Envigado 1-1
Nov 07 Independi… vs Deportivo… 1-4
Nov 03 Independi… vs Envigado 0-1
Oct 29 Independi… vs Bucaraman… 3-0
Oct 26 Independi… vs Atlético … 5-2
Oct 21 Independi… vs Santa Fe 1-1
Oct 17 Independi… vs Fortaleza… 3-1
Oct 13 Independi… vs Once Cald… 1-5
Atlético Nacional Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 21 Atlético … vs America d… 1-0
Nov 16 Atlético … vs America d… 2-2
Nov 14 Atlético … vs Junior 2-1
Nov 08 Atlético … vs Rionegro … 2-1
Nov 02 Atlético … vs America d… 4-1
Oct 31 Atlético … vs Llaneros 0-3
Oct 26 Atlético … vs Independi… 5-2
Oct 22 Atlético … vs Once Cald… 2-0
Oct 18 Atlético … vs Deportivo… 2-2
Oct 15 Atlético … vs Deportivo… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Independiente Medellin in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • AtlĂ©tico Nacional in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 26, 2025 Atlético Nacional 5 - 2 Independiente Medel… Primera A
Sep 08, 2025 Independiente Medel… 3 - 3 Atlético Nacional Primera A
May 04, 2025 Independiente Medel… 1 - 1 Atlético Nacional Primera A
Mar 22, 2025 Atlético Nacional 1 - 1 Independiente Medel… Primera A
Nov 18, 2024 Independiente Medel… 1 - 0 Atlético Nacional Copa Colombia
Nov 11, 2024 Atlético Nacional 1 - 1 Independiente Medel… Primera A
Nov 01, 2024 Atlético Nacional 2 - 0 Independiente Medel… Copa Colombia
Jul 03, 2024 Independiente Medel… 1 - 2 Atlético Nacional Liga Femenina
Jun 19, 2024 Atlético Nacional 2 - 2 Independiente Medel… Liga Femenina
Apr 22, 2024 Independiente Medel… 2 - 2 Atlético Nacional Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Independiente Medellin Power 0
Atlético Nacional Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

17

Independiente Medellin Position

-11

Position Gap

6

Atlético Nacional Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.