AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Nov 23, 2025

Deportes Tolima

Home
VS
00:30

Bucaramanga

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Deportes Tolima Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Bucaramanga Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 6%
xG: 4.50 - 0.93
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.9
Score Prediction Analysis
Deportes Tolima Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Bucaramanga Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 1-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Deportes Tolima Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 18 Deportes … vs Fortaleza… 0-1
Nov 14 Deportes … vs Rionegro … 1-2
Nov 08 Deportes … vs Llaneros 3-1
Oct 30 Deportes … vs Union Mag… 0-2
Oct 25 Deportes … vs Deportivo… 2-1
Oct 20 Deportes … vs La Equida… 0-2
Oct 11 Deportes … vs Envigado 1-2
Oct 05 Deportes … vs Junior 0-1
Sep 27 Deportes … vs Independi… 2-3
Sep 19 Deportes … vs Bucaraman… 2-0
Bucaramanga Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 19 Bucaraman… vs Santa Fe 1-0
Nov 14 Bucaraman… vs Deportivo… 3-0
Nov 09 Bucaraman… vs La Equida… 2-1
Oct 29 Bucaraman… vs Independi… 3-0
Oct 25 Bucaraman… vs Llaneros 2-0
Oct 21 Bucaraman… vs Millonari… 1-1
Oct 12 Bucaraman… vs Union Mag… 1-0
Oct 04 Bucaraman… vs Envigado 1-2
Sep 27 Bucaraman… vs Fortaleza… 2-1
Sep 19 Bucaraman… vs Deportes … 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Deportes Tolima in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
  • Bucaramanga in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 19, 2025 Bucaramanga 2 - 0 Deportes Tolima Primera A
Apr 06, 2025 Deportes Tolima 2 - 1 Bucaramanga Primera A
Sep 01, 2024 Bucaramanga 0 - 2 Deportes Tolima Primera A
Feb 22, 2024 Deportes Tolima 0 - 0 Bucaramanga Primera A
Sep 02, 2023 Deportes Tolima 0 - 0 Bucaramanga Primera A
Mar 21, 2023 Bucaramanga 1 - 1 Deportes Tolima Primera A
Aug 01, 2022 Bucaramanga 2 - 1 Deportes Tolima Primera A
Feb 06, 2022 Deportes Tolima 2 - 1 Bucaramanga Primera A
Nov 15, 2021 Bucaramanga 1 - 1 Deportes Tolima Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Deportes Tolima to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Deportes Tolima Power 0
Bucaramanga Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Deportes Tolima Position

-1

Position Gap

2

Bucaramanga Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.