AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Mar 22, 2025

Glentoran

Home
VS
15:00

Larne

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Glentoran Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Larne Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.53 - 1.01
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 1.0
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Glentoran Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Larne Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (12%) 1-0 (12%) 2-1 (9%) 2-0 (9%) 0-1 (8%) 0-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%
Glentoran Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 18 Glentoran vs Larne 2-2
Mar 15 Glentoran vs Carrick R… 0-0
Mar 12 Glentoran vs Glentoran 3-3
Mar 09 Glentoran vs Cliftonvi… 0-1
Mar 08 Glentoran vs Coleraine… 0-1
Feb 28 Glentoran vs Bangor 3-1
Feb 22 Glentoran vs Crusaders… 0-1
Feb 21 Glentoran vs Cliftonvi… 2-0
Feb 18 Glentoran vs Larne 1-1
Feb 14 Glentoran vs Coleraine… 1-2
Larne Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 18 Larne vs Glentoran 2-2
Mar 15 Larne vs Coleraine… 1-1
Mar 11 Larne vs Ballymena… 1-2
Mar 04 Larne vs Carrick R… 1-0
Feb 22 Larne vs Dungannon… 0-1
Feb 18 Larne vs Glentoran 1-1
Feb 15 Larne vs Portadown 2-0
Feb 11 Larne vs Linfield 1-0
Feb 08 Larne vs Crusaders… 0-1
Feb 04 Larne vs Carrick R… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 18, 2025 Glentoran 2 - 2 Larne Premiership
Feb 18, 2025 Larne 1 - 1 Glentoran Premiership
Nov 02, 2024 Glentoran 0 - 2 Larne Premiership
Sep 20, 2024 Larne 2 - 0 Glentoran Premiership
Sep 17, 2024 Glentoran 0 - 0 Larne Premiership
Apr 16, 2024 Glentoran 1 - 2 Larne Premiership
Mar 16, 2024 Larne 6 - 1 Glentoran Premiership
Feb 23, 2024 Larne 3 - 0 Glentoran Premiership
Feb 03, 2024 Larne 5 - 0 Glentoran Irish Cup
Dec 08, 2023 Larne 4 - 1 Glentoran Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Glentoran to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Glentoran Power 0
Larne Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Glentoran Position

-2

Position Gap

1

Larne Position
Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 69%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.