AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
First Division League (FDL) May 23, 2023

Al-Ahli Saudi

Home
VS
18:00

Al-Qadisiyah

Away
AI Predictions 63.0% Confidence
Al-Ahli Saudi Win
63.0%
Draw
21.4%
Al-Qadisiyah Win
15.6%
Home Win (63% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 1.41 - 0.49
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.5
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Ahli Saudi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Al-Qadisiyah Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 0-0 (15%) 2-0 (15%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Under 2.5 Goals 71%
Al-Ahli Saudi Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
May 19 Al-Ahli S… vs Damac 0-1
Apr 18 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Nassr 2-0
Apr 04 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Fateh … 0-2
Apr 01 Al-Ahli S… vs Al Khalee… 2-0
Mar 14 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Fateh … 3-1
Mar 12 Al-Ahli S… vs Al Riyadh 0-2
Mar 10 Al-Ahli S… vs Al Taawou… 0-4
Mar 06 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Fateh … 1-2
Feb 07 Al-Ahli S… vs Al Akhdoud 1-2
Feb 02 Al-Ahli S… vs Al Akhdoud 1-4
Al-Qadisiyah Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 06 Al-Qadisi… vs Al-Hazem 1-1
Feb 28 Al-Qadisi… vs Al Riyadh 1-2
Jan 10 Al-Qadisi… vs Al-Ahli S… 1-1
Oct 10 Al-Qadisi… vs Al-Hazem 1-0
Oct 04 Al-Qadisi… vs Al Riyadh 1-1
Mar 21 Al-Qadisi… vs Al Wehda … 0-2
Mar 01 Al-Qadisi… vs Al Khalee… 1-0
Nov 08 Al-Qadisi… vs Al Wehda … 1-1
Oct 20 Al-Qadisi… vs Al Khalee… 1-2
May 14 Al-Qadisi… vs Al-Ahli S… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al-Ahli Saudi in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 10, 2023 Al-Qadisiyah 1 - 1 Al-Ahli Saudi First Division…
May 14, 2021 Al-Ahli Saudi 1 - 0 Al-Qadisiyah Pro League
Mar 20, 2021 Al-Ahli Saudi 1 - 0 Al-Qadisiyah Pro League
Jan 08, 2021 Al-Qadisiyah 3 - 1 Al-Ahli Saudi Pro League
Dec 21, 2020 Al-Qadisiyah 1 - 3 Al-Ahli Saudi Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al-Ahli Saudi to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al-Ahli Saudi Power 0
Al-Qadisiyah Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.