AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League May 14, 2021

Al-Ahli Saudi

Home
VS
18:00

Al-Qadisiyah

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Al-Ahli Saudi Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Al-Qadisiyah Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 52%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.36 - 1.38
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Ahli Saudi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Al-Qadisiyah Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (12%) 0-1 (9%) 1-0 (9%) 1-2 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 0-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 56%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
Al-Ahli Saudi Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 07 Al-Ahli S… vs Al Taawou… 4-2
Apr 24 Al-Ahli S… vs Al Shorta… 2-1
Apr 21 Al-Ahli S… vs Al Shorta… 0-3
Mar 20 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Qadisi… 1-0
Mar 20 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Fateh … 4-1
Mar 11 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Nassr 1-2
Mar 06 Al-Ahli S… vs Damac 1-3
Feb 28 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Fateh … 2-5
Feb 14 Al-Ahli S… vs Damac 1-0
Jan 24 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Ettifaq 1-2
Al-Qadisiyah Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 10 Al-Qadisi… vs Al-Ettifaq 1-3
Mar 20 Al-Qadisi… vs Al-Ahli S… 1-0
Mar 05 Al-Qadisi… vs Al Shabab 1-1
Feb 28 Al-Qadisi… vs Al-Ittiha… 1-4
Feb 18 Al-Qadisi… vs Al-Nassr 1-0
Feb 06 Al-Qadisi… vs Damac 2-2
Jan 31 Al-Qadisi… vs Al Wehda … 2-2
Jan 08 Al-Qadisi… vs Al-Ahli S… 3-1
Dec 27 Al-Qadisi… vs Al-Ettifaq 1-2
Dec 21 Al-Qadisi… vs Al-Ahli S… 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al-Ahli Saudi in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 20, 2021 Al-Ahli Saudi 1 - 0 Al-Qadisiyah Pro League
Jan 08, 2021 Al-Qadisiyah 3 - 1 Al-Ahli Saudi Pro League
Dec 21, 2020 Al-Qadisiyah 1 - 3 Al-Ahli Saudi Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al-Ahli Saudi to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al-Ahli Saudi Power 0
Al-Qadisiyah Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Al-Ahli Saudi Position

+1

Position Gap

4

Al-Qadisiyah Position
Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 70%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.