AI Match Insights

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1. Liga Promotion Nov 11, 2023

Étoile Carouge

Home
VS
16:00

Rapperswil

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Étoile Carouge Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Rapperswil Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 2.51 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Étoile Carouge Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Rapperswil Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (21%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (17%) 0-0 (7%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Étoile Carouge Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 13 Étoile Ca… vs Stade Nyo… 1-0
Nov 26 Étoile Ca… vs Rapperswil 0-3
Nov 05 Étoile Ca… vs Stade Nyo… 2-0
Aug 06 Étoile Ca… vs Rapperswil 3-0
Jul 09 Étoile Ca… vs Stade Lau… 7-0
May 13 Étoile Ca… vs Stade Nyo… 1-0
Apr 09 Étoile Ca… vs Rapperswil 0-0
Oct 23 Étoile Ca… vs Rapperswil 1-1
May 15 Étoile Ca… vs Rapperswil 2-2
Oct 10 Étoile Ca… vs Rapperswil 1-2
Rapperswil Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 07 Rapperswil vs Grasshopp… 2-0
Sep 30 Rapperswil vs Luzern Wo… 1-2
Sep 16 Rapperswil vs Yverdon S… 1-0
Apr 01 Rapperswil vs Basel Wom… 1-4
Mar 18 Rapperswil vs Grasshopp… 1-2
Feb 11 Rapperswil vs Luzern Wo… 3-0
Nov 26 Rapperswil vs Étoile Ca… 0-3
Oct 29 Rapperswil vs Basel Wom… 3-0
Oct 01 Rapperswil vs Grasshopp… 3-0
Aug 20 Rapperswil vs Luzern Wo… 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Étoile Carouge in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Rapperswil struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 26, 2022 Rapperswil 0 - 3 Étoile Carouge 1. Liga Promot…
Aug 06, 2022 Étoile Carouge 3 - 0 Rapperswil 1. Liga Promot…
Apr 09, 2022 Étoile Carouge 0 - 0 Rapperswil 1. Liga Promot…
Oct 23, 2021 Rapperswil 1 - 1 Étoile Carouge 1. Liga Promot…
May 15, 2021 Rapperswil 2 - 2 Étoile Carouge 1. Liga Promot…
Oct 10, 2020 Étoile Carouge 1 - 2 Rapperswil 1. Liga Promot…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Étoile Carouge to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Étoile Carouge Power 0
Rapperswil Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.