AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
1. Liga Promotion Nov 26, 2022

Rapperswil

Home
VS
15:00

Étoile Carouge

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Rapperswil Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Étoile Carouge Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 4.11 - 0.81
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.1 vs 0.8
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Rapperswil Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
7%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
20%
Étoile Carouge Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-0 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-0 (3%) 3-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Rapperswil Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 29 Rapperswil vs Basel Wom… 3-0
Oct 01 Rapperswil vs Grasshopp… 3-0
Aug 20 Rapperswil vs Luzern Wo… 2-3
Aug 06 Rapperswil vs Étoile Ca… 3-0
Apr 30 Rapperswil vs Bellinzona 2-2
Apr 09 Rapperswil vs Étoile Ca… 0-0
Nov 14 Rapperswil vs Bellinzona 1-0
Oct 23 Rapperswil vs Étoile Ca… 1-1
Aug 14 Rapperswil vs Stade Lau… 2-3
May 15 Rapperswil vs Étoile Ca… 2-2
Étoile Carouge Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 05 Étoile Ca… vs Stade Nyo… 2-0
Aug 06 Étoile Ca… vs Rapperswil 3-0
Jul 09 Étoile Ca… vs Stade Lau… 7-0
May 13 Étoile Ca… vs Stade Nyo… 1-0
Apr 09 Étoile Ca… vs Rapperswil 0-0
Oct 23 Étoile Ca… vs Rapperswil 1-1
May 15 Étoile Ca… vs Rapperswil 2-2
Oct 10 Étoile Ca… vs Rapperswil 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Rapperswil struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 06, 2022 Étoile Carouge 3 - 0 Rapperswil 1. Liga Promot…
Apr 09, 2022 Étoile Carouge 0 - 0 Rapperswil 1. Liga Promot…
Oct 23, 2021 Rapperswil 1 - 1 Étoile Carouge 1. Liga Promot…
May 15, 2021 Rapperswil 2 - 2 Étoile Carouge 1. Liga Promot…
Oct 10, 2020 Étoile Carouge 1 - 2 Rapperswil 1. Liga Promot…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Rapperswil to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Rapperswil Power 0
Étoile Carouge Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.