AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
1. Liga Promotion Apr 09, 2022

Étoile Carouge

Home
VS
15:00

Rapperswil

Away
AI Predictions 45.7% Confidence
Étoile Carouge Win
45.7%
Draw
24.9%
Rapperswil Win
29.5%
Home Win (46% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 1.52 - 0.62
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.6
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Étoile Carouge Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Rapperswil Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 2-0 (14%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Étoile Carouge Form 6.7%
Date Match Result
Oct 23 Étoile Ca… vs Rapperswil 1-1
May 15 Étoile Ca… vs Rapperswil 2-2
Oct 10 Étoile Ca… vs Rapperswil 1-2
Rapperswil Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 14 Rapperswil vs Bellinzona 1-0
Oct 23 Rapperswil vs Étoile Ca… 1-1
Aug 14 Rapperswil vs Stade Lau… 2-3
May 15 Rapperswil vs Étoile Ca… 2-2
May 01 Rapperswil vs Yverdon S… 1-1
Apr 17 Rapperswil vs Yverdon S… 3-0
Oct 10 Rapperswil vs Étoile Ca… 1-2
Aug 15 Rapperswil vs Bellinzona 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 23, 2021 Rapperswil 1 - 1 Étoile Carouge 1. Liga Promot…
May 15, 2021 Rapperswil 2 - 2 Étoile Carouge 1. Liga Promot…
Oct 10, 2020 Étoile Carouge 1 - 2 Rapperswil 1. Liga Promot…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Étoile Carouge to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Étoile Carouge Power 0
Rapperswil Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.