AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Irish Cup Jan 14, 2025

Institute

Home
VS
19:45

Loughgall

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Institute Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Loughgall Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 1.69 - 0.77
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.8
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Institute Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Loughgall Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (9%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Under 2.5 Goals 56%
Institute Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 30 Institute vs Newington… 2-0
Dec 26 Institute vs Limavady … 1-1
Nov 16 Institute vs Ards 2-4
Nov 09 Institute vs H&W Welde… 3-1
Nov 02 Institute vs Annagh Un… 0-0
Oct 26 Institute vs Newington… 0-1
Oct 19 Institute vs Ballinama… 2-1
Sep 28 Institute vs Ards 0-0
Sep 21 Institute vs Newington… 4-0
Sep 14 Institute vs Ballinama… 1-2
Loughgall Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 01 Loughgall vs Armagh Ci… 2-3
Aug 03 Loughgall vs Ards 1-1
Jul 27 Loughgall vs H&W Welde… 4-3
Jul 23 Loughgall vs Ballinama… 2-1
Jul 20 Loughgall vs Annagh Un… 3-2
Nov 21 Loughgall vs Annagh Un… 0-1
Jul 22 Loughgall vs Dundela 0-0
Apr 22 Loughgall vs Warrenpoi… 1-2
Apr 15 Loughgall vs Dundela 1-3
Apr 11 Loughgall vs Annagh Un… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Institute struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Loughgall struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 11, 2023 Loughgall 5 - 1 Institute Championship
Dec 10, 2022 Institute 1 - 1 Loughgall Championship
Oct 01, 2022 Loughgall 1 - 0 Institute Championship
Feb 12, 2022 Institute 2 - 3 Loughgall Championship
Nov 20, 2021 Institute 0 - 2 Loughgall Championship
Aug 28, 2021 Loughgall 0 - 2 Institute Championship
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Institute to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Institute Power 0
Loughgall Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.