AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga 1 Aug 16, 2024

PSBS Biak Numfor

Home
VS
08:30

PSM Makassar

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
PSBS Biak Numfor Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
PSM Makassar Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 1.75 - 0.56
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.6
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
PSBS Biak Numfor Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
PSM Makassar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
57%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 2-0 (15%) 0-0 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
PSBS Biak Numfor Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 09 PSBS Biak… vs Persib Ba… 4-1
PSM Makassar Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 10 PSM Makas… vs Persis So… 3-0
Jul 25 PSM Makas… vs Pusamania… 1-1
Jul 22 PSM Makas… vs Persis So… 2-2
Jul 19 PSM Makas… vs Persib Ba… 2-0
Mar 29 PSM Makas… vs Pusamania… 1-1
Mar 04 PSM Makas… vs Persis So… 1-0
Feb 28 PSM Makas… vs Persebaya… 0-0
Feb 24 PSM Makas… vs Bali Unit… 0-0
Feb 04 PSM Makas… vs Persita 4-0
Dec 04 PSM Makas… vs Persib Ba… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
PSBS Biak Numfor Power 0
PSM Makassar Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

15

PSBS Biak Numfor Position

-2

Position Gap

13

PSM Makassar Position
Home Win Rate: 30%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.