AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Segunda DivisiĆ³n Dec 14, 2024

Eibar

Home
VS
17:30

Zaragoza

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Eibar Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Zaragoza Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 63%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.02 - 0.70
Key Insights
Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Eibar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Zaragoza Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 0-0 (18%) 1-1 (13%) 0-1 (13%) 2-0 (9%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Under 2.5 Goals 75%
Eibar Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 07 Eibar vs Huesca 2-1
Dec 02 Eibar vs Cartagena 1-0
Nov 23 Eibar vs Burgos 1-0
Nov 23 Eibar vs Burgos 1-0
Nov 16 Eibar vs Ferrol 2-0
Nov 11 Eibar vs La Coruna 1-0
Nov 02 Eibar vs Elche 0-2
Nov 02 Eibar vs Elche 0-2
Oct 27 Eibar vs Malaga 1-0
Oct 23 Eibar vs Cadiz 1-0
Zaragoza Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 07 Zaragoza vs La Coruna 1-1
Dec 03 Zaragoza vs Granada 2-2
Nov 30 Zaragoza vs Albacete 0-1
Nov 30 Zaragoza vs Albacete 0-1
Nov 23 Zaragoza vs Cordoba 2-2
Nov 17 Zaragoza vs Malaga 0-0
Nov 17 Zaragoza vs Malaga 0-0
Nov 09 Zaragoza vs Huesca 1-1
Nov 09 Zaragoza vs Huesca 1-1
Nov 02 Zaragoza vs Granada 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Eibar struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 11, 2024 Eibar 1 - 0 Zaragoza Segunda Divisiā€¦
Feb 11, 2024 Eibar 1 - 0 Zaragoza Pro League
Oct 21, 2023 Zaragoza 2 - 3 Eibar Segunda Divisiā€¦
Apr 21, 2023 Eibar 1 - 1 Zaragoza Segunda Divisiā€¦
Oct 03, 2022 Zaragoza 0 - 0 Eibar Segunda Divisiā€¦
Apr 30, 2022 Eibar 2 - 0 Zaragoza Segunda Divisiā€¦
Dec 06, 2021 Zaragoza 1 - 0 Eibar Segunda Divisiā€¦
Final Verdict

PRO: Eibar to win (72% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 72% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Eibar Power 35
Zaragoza Power 28
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Eibar Position

+8

Position Gap

21

Zaragoza Position
Home Win Rate: 62%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.