AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Segunda División Feb 11, 2024

Eibar

Home
VS
17:30

Zaragoza

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Eibar Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Zaragoza Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.93 - 0.30
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.9 vs 0.3 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Eibar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Zaragoza Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (29%) 1-0 (27%) 2-0 (13%) 0-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 13%
Under 2.5 Goals 87%
Eibar Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Eibar vs Ferrol 1-1
Jan 26 Eibar vs Mirandes 1-0
Jan 26 Eibar vs Mirandes 1-0
Jan 21 Eibar vs Huesca 2-3
Jan 12 Eibar vs Santander 2-0
Jan 12 Eibar vs Santander 2-0
Jan 07 Eibar vs Athletic … 0-3
Dec 20 Eibar vs Sporting … 1-1
Dec 20 Eibar vs Sp Gijon 1-1
Dec 17 Eibar vs Alcorcon 1-0
Zaragoza Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Zaragoza vs Sp Gijon 3-0
Jan 27 Zaragoza vs Alcorcon 0-0
Jan 20 Zaragoza vs FC Andorra 2-0
Jan 15 Zaragoza vs Eldense 1-1
Dec 20 Zaragoza vs Levante 2-2
Dec 17 Zaragoza vs Amorebieta 1-1
Dec 08 Zaragoza vs Espanyol 1-1
Dec 02 Zaragoza vs Levante 1-0
Dec 02 Zaragoza vs Levante 1-0
Nov 25 Zaragoza vs Albacete 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Eibar in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 21, 2023 Zaragoza 2 - 3 Eibar Segunda Divisi…
Apr 21, 2023 Eibar 1 - 1 Zaragoza Segunda Divisi…
Oct 03, 2022 Zaragoza 0 - 0 Eibar Segunda Divisi…
Apr 30, 2022 Eibar 2 - 0 Zaragoza Segunda Divisi…
Dec 06, 2021 Zaragoza 1 - 0 Eibar Segunda Divisi…
Final Verdict

PRO: Eibar to win (72% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 72% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Eibar Power 35
Zaragoza Power 28
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Eibar Position

+8

Position Gap

21

Zaragoza Position
Home Win Rate: 62%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.