AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Segunda DivisiĆ³n Oct 21, 2023

Zaragoza

Home
VS
19:00

Eibar

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Zaragoza Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Eibar Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 93%
Standings 34%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 2.42 - 0.46
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.5
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Zaragoza Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Eibar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 1-0 (14%) 3-0 (13%) 2-1 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
Zaragoza Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 15 Zaragoza vs Santander 1-1
Apr 30 Zaragoza vs Las Palmas 1-1
Apr 21 Zaragoza vs Eibar 1-1
Apr 15 Zaragoza vs Santander 4-1
Mar 26 Zaragoza vs Albacete 1-1
Mar 19 Zaragoza vs Huesca 1-1
Mar 12 Zaragoza vs Levante 3-0
Feb 26 Zaragoza vs Burgos 0-0
Feb 20 Zaragoza vs Malaga 3-0
Dec 19 Zaragoza vs Levante 2-1
Eibar Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 05 Eibar vs Mirandes 1-3
Sep 09 Eibar vs Burgos 1-0
Aug 19 Eibar vs Elche 2-1
Aug 12 Eibar vs Santander 4-0
Aug 05 Eibar vs Santander 0-0
May 20 Eibar vs Sporting ā€¦ 2-2
May 14 Eibar vs Santander 1-0
Apr 30 Eibar vs Granada 1-1
Apr 21 Eibar vs Zaragoza 1-1
Mar 20 Eibar vs Mirandes 2-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 21, 2023 Eibar 1 - 1 Zaragoza Segunda Divisiā€¦
Oct 03, 2022 Zaragoza 0 - 0 Eibar Segunda Divisiā€¦
Apr 30, 2022 Eibar 2 - 0 Zaragoza Segunda Divisiā€¦
Dec 06, 2021 Zaragoza 1 - 0 Eibar Segunda Divisiā€¦
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Zaragoza Power 28
Eibar Power 35
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

21

Zaragoza Position

-8

Position Gap

13

Eibar Position
Home Win Rate: 17%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.