AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Segunda DivisiĆ³n Apr 21, 2023

Eibar

Home
VS
19:00

Zaragoza

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Eibar Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Zaragoza Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.44 - 0.28
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.3 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Eibar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Zaragoza Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
76%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (20%) 1-0 (16%) 3-0 (16%) 0-0 (7%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Eibar Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 20 Eibar vs Mirandes 2-3
Mar 11 Eibar vs Burgos 1-0
Dec 08 Eibar vs Burgos 1-2
Oct 17 Eibar vs Sporting ā€¦ 2-0
Oct 10 Eibar vs Mirandes 0-0
Oct 03 Eibar vs Zaragoza 0-0
Sep 25 Eibar vs Santander 2-1
Sep 12 Eibar vs Granada 4-0
May 08 Eibar vs Valladolid 0-2
Apr 30 Eibar vs Zaragoza 2-0
Zaragoza Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 15 Zaragoza vs Santander 4-1
Mar 26 Zaragoza vs Albacete 1-1
Mar 19 Zaragoza vs Huesca 1-1
Mar 12 Zaragoza vs Levante 3-0
Feb 26 Zaragoza vs Burgos 0-0
Feb 20 Zaragoza vs Malaga 3-0
Dec 19 Zaragoza vs Levante 2-1
Dec 10 Zaragoza vs Huesca 3-0
Dec 06 Zaragoza vs Albacete 0-0
Nov 27 Zaragoza vs Burgos 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Eibar in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 03, 2022 Zaragoza 0 - 0 Eibar Segunda Divisiā€¦
Apr 30, 2022 Eibar 2 - 0 Zaragoza Segunda Divisiā€¦
Dec 06, 2021 Zaragoza 1 - 0 Eibar Segunda Divisiā€¦
Final Verdict

PRO: Eibar to win (72% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 72% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Eibar Power 35
Zaragoza Power 28
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Eibar Position

+8

Position Gap

21

Zaragoza Position
Home Win Rate: 62%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.