AI Match Insights

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Segunda División Apr 30, 2022

Eibar

Home
VS
16:15

Zaragoza

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Eibar Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Zaragoza Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 1.73 - 0.35
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.3 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Eibar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
7%
Zaragoza Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
71%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 2-0 (19%) 0-0 (12%) 3-0 (11%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 24%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Under 2.5 Goals 66%
Eibar Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 03 Eibar vs Mirandes 1-1
Feb 27 Eibar vs Burgos 2-0
Feb 05 Eibar vs Sporting … 0-1
Jan 24 Eibar vs Almería 0-2
Dec 06 Eibar vs Zaragoza 1-0
Oct 31 Eibar vs Valladolid 2-0
Oct 15 Eibar vs Almería 1-0
Oct 09 Eibar vs Mirandes 3-3
Aug 29 Eibar vs Burgos 0-1
Apr 22 Eibar vs Granada 4-1
Zaragoza Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 24 Zaragoza vs Burgos 0-0
Apr 17 Zaragoza vs Huesca 1-1
Feb 19 Zaragoza vs Las Palmas 2-1
Feb 11 Zaragoza vs Levante 2-1
Feb 05 Zaragoza vs Malaga 1-1
Dec 14 Zaragoza vs Burgos 2-0
Dec 06 Zaragoza vs Eibar 1-0
Nov 22 Zaragoza vs Levante 0-2
Nov 13 Zaragoza vs Las Palmas 2-3
Nov 04 Zaragoza vs Burgos 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Eibar in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 06, 2021 Zaragoza 1 - 0 Eibar Segunda Divisi…
Final Verdict

PRO: Eibar to win (72% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 72% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Eibar Power 35
Zaragoza Power 28
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Eibar Position

+8

Position Gap

21

Zaragoza Position
Home Win Rate: 62%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.