AI Match Insights
Eredivisie Sep 28, 2024
Sparta Rotterdam
HomeVS
19:00
Fortuna Sittard
AwayAI Predictions 65.0% Confidence
Sparta Rotterdam Win
Draw
Fortuna Sittard Win
Home Win
(65% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
82%
Standings
67%
Market
50%
Combined: 51%
Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 1.53 - 0.35
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.3
Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sparta Rotterdam Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Fortuna Sittard Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (23%)
2-0 (18%)
0-0 (15%)
3-0 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
29%
Under 2.5 Goals
71%
Sparta Rotterdam Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 21 | Sparta Ro… vs Waalwijk | 1-2 |
| Sep 15 | Sparta Ro… vs GO Ahead … | 1-2 |
| Aug 31 | Sparta Ro… vs Willem II | 1-2 |
| Aug 31 | Sparta Ro… vs Willem II | 1-2 |
| Aug 25 | Sparta Ro… vs Feyenoord | 1-1 |
| Aug 25 | Sparta Ro… vs Feyenoord | 1-1 |
| Aug 17 | Sparta Ro… vs FC Twente | 1-1 |
| Aug 11 | Sparta Ro… vs Heracles | 0-0 |
| Aug 11 | Sparta Ro… vs Heracles | 0-0 |
| Aug 03 | Sparta Ro… vs NAC Breda | 2-1 |
Fortuna Sittard Form 0.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22 | Fortuna S… vs PSV Eindh… | 1-3 |
| Sep 22 | Fortuna S… vs PSV Eindh… | 1-3 |
| Sep 18 | Fortuna S… vs Ajax | 5-0 |
| Sep 18 | Fortuna S… vs Ajax | 5-0 |
| Sep 14 | Fortuna S… vs NAC Breda | 1-0 |
| Aug 31 | Fortuna S… vs Nijmegen | 0-3 |
| Aug 16 | Fortuna S… vs Almere Ci… | 3-0 |
| Aug 16 | Fortuna S… vs Almere Ci… | 3-0 |
| Aug 11 | Fortuna S… vs GO Ahead … | 0-2 |
| Aug 11 | Fortuna S… vs GO Ahead … | 0-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Sparta Rotterdam in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
- Fortuna Sittard struggling (5L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | Sparta Rotterdam | 4 - 0 | Fortuna Sittard | Pro League |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Sparta Rotterdam | 4 - 0 | Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Fortuna Sittard | 0 - 2 | Sparta Rotterdam | Pro League |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Fortuna Sittard | 0 - 2 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| Feb 03, 2023 | Fortuna Sittard | 0 - 0 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Sparta Rotterdam | 3 - 1 | Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Fortuna Sittard | 3 - 0 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2021 | Sparta Rotterdam | 3 - 1 | Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Feb 13, 2021 | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 - 2 | Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Jan 13, 2021 | Fortuna Sittard | 0 - 1 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Sparta Rotterdam to win (43% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Sparta Rotterdam Power
0
Fortuna Sittard Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
5
Sparta Rotterdam Position+6
Position Gap11
Fortuna Sittard Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.